trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 3 | -0.0% | -9.6% | 0% | 0% | -9.6% |
| ≤30d | 11 | -0.0% | -9.6% | 27% | 0% | -9.4% |
| ≤90d | 11 | -0.0% | -9.6% | 27% | 0% | -9.4% |
| all | 23 | +2.9% | -6.9% | 52% | 4% | -8.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -6.9% | 4% | -8.6% |
| 10% | -15.8% | 4% | -17.3% |
| 15% | -23.9% | 4% | -25.3% |
| 20% | -31.4% | 4% | -32.6% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | No | 86¢ | 86¢ | $46 | $46 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel closes its airspace by June 30? | Jun 24 | $28 | $0 | -0% |
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027? | Jun 23 | $10 | $0 | +0% |
| Cuban regime falls in 2026? | Jun 23 | $46 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Alberta join the US? | Jun 03 | $99 | $0 | +0% |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30? | Jun 02 | $32 | $0 | -0% |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | Jun 01 | $13 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | May 31 | $39 | $0 | -1% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? | May 30 | $12 | $0 | +0% |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? | May 30 | $2 | $0 | +0% |
| Israel closes its airspace by May 31? | May 30 | $88 | +$1 | +1% |
| Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | May 28 | $46 | $0 | -0% |
| Will reconciliation bill be passed by June 30? | Dec 10 | $2 | $0 | +6% |
| Will the San Francisco Giants win the 2025 World Series? | Dec 10 | $2 | $0 | +3% |
| Will Andrey Rublev win the 2025 French Open? | Jun 03 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100k in April? | May 06 | $1 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the New Jersey Devils win the 2025 Stanley Cup? | May 06 | $2 | $0 | +2% |
| Will 'A Working Man' gross between 11-14m on opening weekend? | Apr 02 | $16 | $0 | +2% |
| Will 'A Working Man' gross less than 11m on opening weekend? | Mar 29 | $16 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the LA Clippers win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Mar 29 | $16 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Mar 24 | $16 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Billy Donovan make the 2025 Class of the Naismith Basketball Hall | Mar 22 | $8 | +$5 | +57% |
| Wyoming vs. Nevada | Feb 25 | $11 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Florida win the 2025 NCAA Tournament? | Feb 25 | $11 | $0 | -4% |