Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T07:59:53+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

EB
0xeb67…d696
other · 102 markets active 41d ago
4.0score
+$310,329 +60%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$310,329 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY Fresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$0
Realized+$310,329
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)74%
Wins / losses75 / 27
Whale WR (big bets)81%
Est. fees paid−$85
Open positions0
Markets (closed)102 / 102
Avg bet$5,039
Trades / day40.9
Drawdown7%
Kalshi-fit6%
Chart Positions 0 History 102 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days$0
14 days$0
30 days$0
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch? Yes 10¢ 0¢ $1,131 $0 −$1,131 (-100%)
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 Gen.G 58¢ 0¢ $1,311 $0 −$1,311 (-100%)
Will USD.AI launch a token by March 31? Yes 15¢ 0¢ $4,317 $0 −$4,317 (-100%)
Will USD.AI launch a token on April 21? No 4¢ 0¢ $112 $0 −$112 (-100%)
LoL: DN SOOPers vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 DN SOOPers 19¢ 0¢ $976 $0 −$976 (-100%)
Over $7M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale? No 6¢ 0¢ $3,075 $0 −$3,075 (-100%)
LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Playoffs G2 Esports 31¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
MegaETH FDV above $1.6B one day after launch? Yes 35¢ 0¢ $1,613 $0 −$1,613 (-100%)
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch? Yes 7¢ 0¢ $1,629 $0 −$1,629 (-100%)
Sentio FDV above $100M one day after launch? Yes 37¢ 0¢ $1,317 $0 −$1,317 (-100%)
Will USD.AI launch a token by April 30? No 2¢ 0¢ $314 $0 −$314 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Over $8M committed to the Printr public sale? May 02 $9,121 +$25,603 +281%
Over $6M committed to the Printr public sale? May 02 $6,321 +$23,614 +374%
MegaETH FDV above $800M one day after launch? May 01 $3 +$2 +62%
MegaETH FDV above $1.2B one day after launch? May 01 $8,005 +$8,895 +111%
MegaETH FDV above $1.4B one day after launch? May 01 $423 +$720 +170%
Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30? May 01 $6,312 −$442 -7%
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch? May 01 $23,576 −$21,665 -92%
MegaETH FDV above $1B one day after launch? May 01 $3,340 +$2,059 +62%
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1.5B one day after launch? May 01 $10,009 +$43,715 +437%
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch? May 01 $59,771 +$45,811 +77%
Gensyn FDV above $200M one day after launch? Apr 30 $2,176 +$264 +12%
Over $60M committed to the Printr public sale? Apr 30 $12,247 +$4,548 +37%
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch? Apr 30 $1,649 −$1,629 -99%
Over $30M committed to the Printr public sale? Apr 30 $5,072 +$3,983 +78%
Over $40M committed to the Printr public sale? Apr 30 $5,124 +$4,723 +92%
Over $100M committed to the Printr public sale? Apr 30 $4,037 +$722 +18%
Over $10M committed to the Printr public sale? Apr 30 $17,813 +$49,966 +280%
Over $3M committed to the Printr public sale? Apr 30 $178 +$1,769 +994%
Over $15M committed to the Printr public sale? Apr 30 $14,493 +$16,791 +116%
Gensyn FDV above $1B one day after launch? Apr 30 $654 +$115 +18%
Over $4M committed to the Printr public sale? Apr 30 $411 +$4,071 +991%
Over $20M committed to the Printr public sale? Apr 30 $1,875 +$1,611 +86%
Gensyn FDV above $400M one day after launch? Apr 30 $1,484 −$793 -53%
Gensyn FDV above $600M one day after launch? Apr 30 $363 −$82 -22%
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$800M one day after launch? Apr 29 $53,393 +$44,039 +82%
Gensyn FDV above $800M one day after launch? Apr 29 $97 −$9 -9%
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$600M one day after launch? Apr 25 $28,348 +$9,397 +33%
Will MegaETH launch a token by June 30, 2026? Apr 23 $35,267 +$8,897 +25%
Will MegaETH launch a token by May 31, 2026? Apr 23 $3,531 +$1,867 +53%
OpenGradient FDV above $100M one day after launch? Apr 23 $402 +$119 +30%
USD.AI FDV above $400M one day after launch? Apr 23 $680 +$692 +102%
MegaETH FDV above $1.6B one day after launch? Apr 22 $1,692 −$1,613 -95%
Fluent FDV above $100M one day after launch? Apr 21 $4,670 −$1,311 -28%
Will USD.AI launch a token on April 21? Apr 20 $121 −$112 -93%
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 Apr 19 $538 +$298 +55%
USD.AI FDV above $200M one day after launch? Apr 17 $6,527 +$1,645 +25%
Sentio FDV above $100M one day after launch? Apr 16 $4,385 −$365 -8%
Will USD.AI launch a token by April 30? Apr 15 $620 +$439 +71%
Sentio FDV above $200M one day after launch? Apr 15 $62 +$530 +853%
Genius FDV above $100M one day after launch? Apr 15 $4,770 +$1,534 +32%
Over $3M committed to the Fluent public sale? Apr 14 $1,137 +$760 +67%
Over $2M committed to the Fluent public sale? Apr 14 $14,918 +$12,110 +81%
Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026? Apr 12 $5,083 −$1,306 -26%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 Apr 11 $1,327 −$1,311 -99%
LoL: DN SOOPers vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 Apr 10 $1,000 −$976 -98%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 Apr 09 $1,102 +$435 +40%
Sentio FDV above $50M one day after launch? Apr 09 $1,877 +$198 +10%
Sentio FDV above $20M one day after launch? Apr 04 $4,643 +$257 +6%
Will MegaETH launch a token by December 31, 2026? Apr 04 $37 +$17 +46%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 Apr 03 $1,000 +$1,192 +119%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 99% +$310,729
sports 1% −$400
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Over $8M committed to the Printr public sale? SELL No 96¢ $1,013 41d
Over $6M committed to the Printr public sale? SELL No 96¢ $1,774 41d
MegaETH FDV above $1.4B one day after launch? SELL Yes 99¢ $612 41d
MegaETH FDV above $1.4B one day after launch? SELL Yes 99¢ $531 41d
Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30? SELL No 70¢ $1,400 41d
Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30? SELL No 70¢ $341 41d
MegaETH FDV above $1B one day after launch? SELL Yes 100¢ $435 41d
MegaETH FDV above $1B one day after launch? SELL Yes 100¢ $3,757 41d
MegaETH FDV above $1B one day after launch? SELL Yes 100¢ $283 41d
MegaETH FDV above $1B one day after launch? SELL Yes 100¢ $924 41d
Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30? SELL No 61¢ $19 42d
Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30? SELL No 61¢ $178 42d
Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30? SELL No 66¢ $344 42d
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch? SELL Yes 100¢ $1,314 42d
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1.5B one day after launch? SELL Yes 78¢ $4 42d
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1.5B one day after launch? SELL Yes 78¢ $866 42d
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch? BUY Yes 15¢ $303 42d
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch? BUY Yes 21¢ $1 42d
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch? BUY Yes 21¢ $128 42d
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch? BUY Yes 21¢ $266 42d
Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30? SELL No 66¢ $305 42d
Over $60M committed to the Printr public sale? SELL No 100¢ $1,400 42d
Over $60M committed to the Printr public sale? SELL No 100¢ $6 42d
Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30? SELL No 45¢ $480 42d
Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30? SELL No 49¢ $376 42d
Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30? SELL No 40¢ $285 42d
Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30? SELL No 40¢ $113 42d
Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30? SELL No 39¢ $321 42d
Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30? SELL No 39¢ $294 42d
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch? BUY Yes 28¢ $162 42d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +63%
net ROI/market (all)+42.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d no closed markets
≤30d no closed markets
≤90d 97 +61.9% +46.5% 75% 64% +46.6%
all 102 +57.5% +42.5% 74% 63% +46.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover40.9 tr/day
realistic slip~18%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +42.5% 63% +46.2%
10% +28.9% 53% +32.2%
15% ← realistic here +16.4% 43% +19.4%
20% +5.0% 31% +7.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2455 history records