trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 4 | -0.1% | -9.7% | 0% | 0% | -9.7% |
| ≤30d | 4 | -0.1% | -9.7% | 0% | 0% | -9.7% |
| ≤90d | 22 | -0.2% | -9.7% | 0% | 0% | -9.6% |
| all | 25 | -0.2% | -9.7% | 0% | 0% | -9.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -9.7% | 0% | -9.6% |
| 10% | -18.4% | 0% | -18.3% |
| 15% | -26.2% | 0% | -26.2% |
| 20% | -33.5% | 0% | -33.4% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 26 | $65 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026? | Jun 26 | $955 | −$2 | -0% |
| Will Nicolas Dupont-Aignan win the 2027 French presidential election? | Jun 26 | $924 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Jun 26 | $893 | −$2 | -0% |
| Will the Arizona Diamondbacks win the 2026 World Series? | May 23 | $50 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Tom Brady win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | May 23 | $35 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Tony Thurmond win the California Governor Election in 2026? | May 23 | $22 | $0 | -0% |
| Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31? | May 21 | $41 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Mary Fitzpatrick win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election? | May 21 | $805 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Gillian Sherratt win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election? | May 21 | $862 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Sadegh Mahsouli be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | May 21 | $860 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026? | May 19 | $56 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship? | May 19 | $856 | −$2 | -0% |
| Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the Western Conference? | May 19 | $15 | $0 | -2% |
| Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | May 19 | $792 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | May 18 | $861 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Alex Padilla win the California Governor Election in 2026? | May 18 | $51 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Gabriel Bortoleto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | May 18 | $836 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in May? | May 18 | $822 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Chicago White Sox win the 2026 American League Championship Serie | Apr 01 | $26 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Apr 01 | $75 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Claudia Sheinbaum be the next leader out before 2027? | Apr 01 | $25 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026? | Mar 26 | $145 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Mar 26 | $30 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Mar 26 | $97 | $0 | -0% |