Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T02:39:38+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

EB
0xeb62…2f7e
weather · 484 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
+$124 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$125 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP weather specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$125
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)72%
Wins / losses350 / 133
Est. fees paid−$3
Open positions1
Markets (closed)483 / 484
History coverage90d
Avg bet$54
Trades / day10.8
Drawdown53%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 483 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$1
7 days−$20
14 days−$24
30 days+$20
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? Yes 23¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-99%)
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 28°C on June 11? Yes 10¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on June 10? Yes 8¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C on June 11? Jun 11 $3 +$1 +31%
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 28°C on June 11? Jun 11 $0 $0 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 84-85°F on June 10? Jun 11 $38 +$1 +2%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on June 9? Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 90-91°F on June 10? Jun 10 $1 −$1 -52%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on Ju Jun 10 $1 −$1 -98%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on Ju Jun 10 $2 +$1 +72%
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C or higher on June 9? Jun 10 $20 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 28°C on June 9? Jun 09 $1 +$2 +205%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on Ju Jun 09 $1 −$1 -50%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on June 8? Jun 09 $1 $0 -43%
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on June 9? Jun 09 $49 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on Ju Jun 09 $19 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on June 8? Jun 08 $99 +$1 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C on June 8? Jun 08 $50 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on June 8? Jun 08 $2 +$1 +41%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on June 8? Jun 08 $10 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 82-83°F on June 8? Jun 08 $1 +$2 +132%
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 7? Jun 08 $2 −$1 -45%
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June Jun 08 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on June 7? Jun 08 $100 +$3 +3%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on June 7? Jun 07 $2 +$1 +80%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on June 7? Jun 07 $100 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 92-93°F on Ju Jun 07 $3 +$1 +16%
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 6? Jun 07 $70 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on June 6? Jun 07 $499 +$1 +0%
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on June 6? Jun 07 $100 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 29°C on June 6? Jun 06 $7 −$7 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on June 6? Jun 06 $9 +$1 +7%
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 90-91°F on June 6? Jun 06 $1 −$1 -86%
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on June 6? Jun 06 $1 $0 -43%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on June 4? Jun 06 $3 −$1 -30%
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on June 4? Jun 06 $0 $0 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on June 4? Jun 06 $1 −$1 -61%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 29°C on June 4? Jun 06 $5 −$1 -27%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on Ma Jun 06 $3 −$1 -52%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on Ju Jun 06 $2 −$1 -58%
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on June 1? Jun 06 $1 −$1 -55%
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on June 2? Jun 06 $1 −$1 -79%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on June 5? Jun 06 $0 $0 -100%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 92-93°F on Ju Jun 06 $2 −$2 -100%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on Ju Jun 06 $0 $0 -100%
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on June 5? Jun 06 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on June 4? Jun 06 $1 −$1 -56%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on June 3? Jun 06 $12 −$12 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C on June 6? Jun 06 $2 $0 -12%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on Ju Jun 06 $15 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C on June 5? Jun 05 $15 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 29°C on June 5? Jun 05 $1 +$1 +233%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on Ju Jun 05 $8 −$2 -20%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
weather 89% +$94
sports 5% +$10
world 4% +$29
politics 0% +$12
finance 0% −$9
other 0% −$5
crypto 0% −$8
economics 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 22¢ $1 1h
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 23¢ $1 1h
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 23¢ $1 1h
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 28°C on June 11? BUY Yes 10¢ $0 37h
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C on June 11? SELL No 58¢ $1 37h
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C on June 11? BUY No 60¢ $3 37h
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 90-91°F on June 10? SELL Yes 10¢ $0 2d
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 84-85°F on June 10? BUY No 98¢ $18 2d
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 84-85°F on June 10? BUY No 98¢ $20 2d
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 90-91°F on June 10? BUY Yes 20¢ $1 2d
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on Ju BUY Yes 8¢ $0 2d
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on Ju BUY Yes 8¢ $0 2d
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on Ju SELL Yes 35¢ $1 3d
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on Ju BUY Yes 39¢ $2 3d
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on June 9? SELL No 98¢ $49 3d
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on June 9? BUY No 97¢ $10 3d
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 28°C on June 9? SELL Yes 4¢ $0 3d
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on June 9? BUY No 98¢ $10 3d
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on June 9? BUY No 98¢ $20 3d
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on June 9? BUY No 98¢ $10 3d
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C or higher on June 9? BUY No 100¢ $20 3d
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 28°C on June 9? BUY Yes 17¢ $1 3d
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on June 9? BUY Yes 14¢ $1 3d
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 82-83°F on June 8? SELL Yes 89¢ $2 4d
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 82-83°F on June 8? SELL Yes 24¢ $1 4d
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 82-83°F on June 8? BUY Yes 24¢ $1 4d
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on Ju SELL Yes 20¢ $1 4d
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on Ju BUY Yes 22¢ $1 4d
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on Ju BUY No 99¢ $9 4d
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on Ju BUY No 99¢ $10 4d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +8%
net ROI/market (all)-11.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 47 -26.6% -33.6% 45% 15% -11.0%
≤30d 211 -4.5% -13.6% 60% 13% -9.3%
≤90d 483 -2.1% -11.5% 72% 8% -9.1%
all 483 -2.1% -11.5% 72% 8% -9.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover10.8 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -11.5% 8% -9.1%
10% -19.9% 5% -17.8%
15% -27.7% 5% -25.7%
20% -34.8% 4% -33.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.01 · official $0.01 (match) · 1433 history records