Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T11:34:53+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

EB
0xeb5f…7d69
crypto · 452 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$189 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$189 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$11
Realized−$189
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)78%
Wins / losses354 / 98
Open positions0
Markets (closed)452 / 452
Avg bet$19
Trades / day11.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 452 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$8
7 days+$20
14 days−$2
30 days−$6
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Down 87¢ 100¢ $10 $11 +$1 (+15%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Down 96¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Up 95¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Up 89¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 11 $10 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 11 $10 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 11 $10 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 11 $10 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 11 $10 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 11 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 11 $10 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 11 $10 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 11 $10 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 10 $10 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 10 $10 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 10 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 10 $10 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 10 $10 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 10 $10 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 10 $10 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 10 $10 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 10 $10 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 10 $10 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 10 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 09 $10 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 09 $10 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 09 $10 −$1 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 09 $10 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 09 $10 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 09 $10 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 09 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 09 $10 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 09 $10 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 09 $10 −$2 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 09 $10 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 08 $10 −$1 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 08 $10 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 08 $10 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 08 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 08 $10 +$2 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 08 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 08 $10 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 05 $10 +$2 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 05 $10 −$3 -27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 05 $10 −$1 -8%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$189
world 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $11 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET SELL Up 95¢ $11 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $10 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET SELL Up 98¢ $11 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $10 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $0 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET SELL Up 98¢ $10 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $10 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $10 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $10 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET SELL Down 98¢ $11 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $10 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET SELL Down 91¢ $10 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $10 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $10 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $10 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $11 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $10 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET SELL Down 98¢ $11 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $10 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $11 27h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $10 27h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET SELL Up 100¢ $10 27h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +8%
net ROI/market (all)-11.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 48 +4.2% -5.7% 85% 10% -5.7%
≤30d 151 -0.4% -9.9% 79% 10% -9.9%
≤90d 452 -2.1% -11.4% 78% 8% -11.3%
all 452 -2.1% -11.4% 78% 8% -11.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover11.1 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -11.4% 8% -11.3%
10% -19.9% 0% -19.8%
15% -27.6% 0% -27.5%
20% -34.7% 0% -34.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $11.49 · official $11.49 (match) · 901 history records