Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T04:30:33+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

3.0
score
EB 0xeb55…8e9d crypto 1378 markets active 3h ago coverage 63d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage! high turnover
Total PnL +$346 (+4%) realized +$346 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +1% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -22% what you keep after slip
Net edge-22%after slip
Net WR54%break-even
Win rate54%738W / 640L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$6per market
Trades / day22.6pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$17
7 days−$27
14 days−$22
30 days+$15
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$52
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +54%
net ROI/market (all)-8.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 143 -0.6% -10.1% 53% 53% -11.9%
≤30d 688 +0.7% -8.9% 53% 53% -9.3%
≤90d 1378 +1.1% -8.6% 54% 54% -9.0%
all 1378 +1.1% -8.6% 54% 54% -9.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover22.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -8.6% 54% -9.0%
10% ← realistic here -17.3% 54% -17.7%
15% -25.3% 53% -25.7%
20% -32.6% 53% -32.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 0% · top 2 1% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
0% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +1% · $-wt +1% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +2% → late +1% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$6 vs −$6 · ×0.88 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.01 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

63d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$346
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)54%
Wins / losses738 / 640
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1378 / 1378
History coverage63d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day22.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1378 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 17 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 17 $2 +$2 +88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 16 $8 +$7 +88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 16 $8 +$7 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 16 $8 +$8 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 16 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 16 $12 +$11 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 16 $4 +$4 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 16 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 16 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 16 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 16 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 16 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 16 $10 +$9 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 16 $8 +$7 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 16 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 16 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 16 $4 +$4 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 16 $4 +$4 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 16 $6 +$6 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 15 $12 +$11 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 15 $12 +$11 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 15 $12 +$11 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 15 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 15 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 15 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 15 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 15 $12 +$10 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 15 $7 +$6 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 15 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 15 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 15 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 15 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 15 $8 +$7 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 15 $4 +$4 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 15 $4 +$4 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 15 $2 +$2 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 15 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 15 $6 +$6 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 15 $6 +$5 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 15 $6 +$5 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 14 $2 +$2 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 14 $2 +$2 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 14 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 14 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 14 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 14 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 14 $6 +$5 +84%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $8 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $8 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $8 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $8 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $12 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $4 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $4 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $10 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $8 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $8 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $8 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $8 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $8 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $8 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $4 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $4 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $6 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $6 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $2 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $12 35h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $12 36h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $12 36h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $12 36h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $12 39h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $12 39h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $12 39h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $1 39h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $6 39h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $4 41h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2832 history records