Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T23:37:55+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

EB
0xeb4d…06f5
crypto · 1432 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$472 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$472 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$472
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)84%
Wins / losses1210 / 222
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1432 / 1432
History coverage21d
Avg bet$31
Trades / day108.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1432 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$107
7 days−$400
14 days−$489
30 days−$472
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Down 20¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Down 33¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Up 88¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Up 99¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $21 $0 −$21 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Down 99¢ 0¢ $103 $0 −$103 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Up 24¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Down 94¢ 0¢ $53 $0 −$53 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Up 63¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 98¢ 0¢ $51 $0 −$51 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Up 99¢ 0¢ $46 $0 −$46 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Down 73¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Down 92¢ 0¢ $32 $0 −$32 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Up 97¢ 0¢ $41 $0 −$41 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Down 98¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Up 10¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 13 $21 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 13 $33 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 13 $20 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 13 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$1 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 13 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 13 $20 −$4 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 13 $12 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$5 -45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 13 $23 −$5 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 13 $27 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 13 $14 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$2 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$2 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 13 $15 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 13 $24 −$2 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 13 $45 −$3 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 13 $20 −$1 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $18 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 13 $18 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$2 -47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 12 $8 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 12 $9 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 12 $13 −$1 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 12 $19 −$4 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$2 -40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$1 -25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $9 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$2 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 12 $8 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 12 $8 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $8 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $14 −$1 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $13 −$1 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$2 -42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$4 -79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $14 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 12 $8 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $7 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$3 -53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 12 $8 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$472
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $21 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET SELL Down 92¢ $22 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $21 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Up 15¢ $1 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Up 15¢ $1 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Down 74¢ $10 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $20 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $20 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET SELL Down 89¢ $10 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Up 10¢ $1 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Down 87¢ $10 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $20 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Down 87¢ $10 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET SELL Up 43¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Up 12¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Down 82¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET SELL Up 39¢ $5 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $10 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Up 21¢ $3 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $10 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET SELL Down 31¢ $4 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $10 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET BUY Down 22¢ $3 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $9 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET SELL Down 25¢ $3 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET SELL Up 74¢ $10 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET BUY Up 32¢ $5 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $10 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Down 28¢ $1 19h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +2%
net ROI/market (all)-11.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 771 -4.1% -13.3% 77% 1% -11.3%
≤30d 1432 -2.2% -11.6% 84% 2% -10.5%
≤90d 1432 -2.2% -11.6% 84% 2% -10.5%
all 1432 -2.2% -11.6% 84% 2% -10.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover108.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.6% 2% -10.5%
10% ← realistic here -20.0% 0% -19.1%
15% -27.7% 0% -26.9%
20% -34.8% 0% -34.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records