Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T16:08:16+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

EB
0xeb49…693e
world · 64 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$200,393 -32%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$211,096 · open +$9,503
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP world specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$208,745
Realized−$211,096
Unrealized+$9,503
Win rate (resolved)57%
Wins / losses28 / 21
Whale WR (big bets)46%
Est. fees paid−$165
Open positions15
Markets (closed)49 / 64
History coverage132d
Avg bet$9,836
Trades / day6.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit89%
Chart Positions 15 History 49 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$10,445
7 days−$75,476
14 days−$153,443
30 days−$206,426
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? No 85¢ 87¢ $89,121 $90,975 +$1,854 (+2%)
Israel closes its airspace by June 15? No 89¢ 96¢ $60,857 $65,919 +$5,062 (+8%)
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No 77¢ 81¢ $10,516 $11,163 +$647 (+6%)
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? No 73¢ 80¢ $6,269 $6,904 +$635 (+10%)
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June? No 86¢ 93¢ $6,300 $6,821 +$521 (+8%)
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? No 82¢ 88¢ $4,829 $5,145 +$316 (+7%)
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? No 82¢ 76¢ $5,491 $5,072 −$419 (-8%)
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June? No 79¢ 90¢ $3,970 $4,496 +$526 (+13%)
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026? No 86¢ 92¢ $2,889 $3,085 +$196 (+7%)
Israel closes its airspace by June 13? No 92¢ 99¢ $2,498 $2,689 +$191 (+8%)
Israel closes its airspace by June 12? No 96¢ 99¢ $2,112 $2,179 +$67 (+3%)
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026? No 88¢ 84¢ $1,983 $1,898 −$85 (-4%)
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30? No 81¢ 78¢ $1,001 $964 −$37 (-4%)
Israel closes its airspace by June 14? No 93¢ 98¢ $879 $931 +$52 (+6%)
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June? No 89¢ 85¢ $527 $505 −$23 (-4%)
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April? No 83¢ 0¢ $5,069 $0 −$5,069 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonseca Casper Ruud 7¢ 0¢ $252 $0 −$252 (-100%)
Spurs vs. Knicks Spurs 89¢ 0¢ $10,569 $0 −$10,569 (-100%)
Iran closes its airspace by June 15? No 85¢ 0¢ $47,521 $0 −$47,521 (-100%)
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through July 31? Yes 65¢ 0¢ $899 $0 −$899 (-100%)
Iran closes its airspace by July 31? No 66¢ 0¢ $177 $0 −$177 (-100%)
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April? No 85¢ 0¢ $960 $0 −$960 (-100%)
Iran closes its airspace by July 15? No 76¢ 0¢ $778 $0 −$778 (-100%)
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through December 31? Yes 44¢ 0¢ $581 $0 −$581 (-100%)
Iran closes its airspace by June 30? No 79¢ 0¢ $90,553 $0 −$90,553 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Israel closes its airspace by June 11? Jun 12 $215 +$5 +2%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $10,605 −$10,569 -100%
Israel closes its airspace by June 10? Jun 11 $2,105 +$39 +2%
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June? Jun 11 $3,937 +$55 +1%
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? Jun 11 $3,952 +$25 +1%
Iran closes its airspace by June 15? Jun 08 $63,767 −$63,744 -100%
Iran closes its airspace by June 8? Jun 08 $4,632 −$1,286 -28%
Iran closes its airspace by June 30? Jun 04 $92,693 −$92,684 -100%
Iran closes its airspace by July 15? Jun 04 $778 −$778 -100%
Iran closes its airspace by July 31? Jun 03 $177 −$177 -100%
Will Felix Auger Aliassime win the 2026 Men's French Open? Jun 03 $20 +$2 +11%
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonseca Jun 02 $9,695 +$5,592 +58%
Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Roland Garros Men's Singles? Jun 02 $762 +$132 +17%
Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open? Jun 02 $1,755 +$342 +20%
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June? Jun 02 $694 −$22 -3%
Iran closes its airspace by May 31? Jun 01 $57,962 +$3,867 +7%
Israel closes its airspace by May 31? Jun 01 $48,935 +$4,876 +10%
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Jun 01 $7,649 +$1,133 +15%
Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonseca May 31 $258 −$252 -98%
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31? May 29 $14 +$2 +10%
Iran closes its airspace by May 27? May 28 $2,000 +$33 +2%
Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by June 30? May 26 $1,037 +$12 +1%
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 30? May 26 $5,595 −$5,519 -99%
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 7? May 26 $7,270 −$7,218 -99%
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 15? May 26 $6,999 −$6,899 -99%
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 28? May 26 $5,135 −$5,079 -99%
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27? May 26 $2,541 −$2,519 -99%
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31? May 26 $25,962 −$25,784 -99%
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25? May 25 $4,763 +$163 +3%
Israel closes its airspace by May 24? May 25 $8 +$2 +27%
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through July 31? May 25 $899 −$899 -100%
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24? May 25 $7,500 +$1,418 +19%
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through December 31? May 22 $581 −$581 -100%
Will Neymar play in the World Cup? May 19 $120 −$112 -93%
Atlanta Braves vs. Colorado Rockies May 05 $96 +$25 +26%
Lakers vs. Rockets May 02 $5,007 +$223 +4%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April? May 02 $138 +$8 +6%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April? May 02 $7,341 +$207 +3%
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by April 30, 2026? May 02 $2,972 +$209 +7%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April? Apr 29 $5,102 −$5,069 -99%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April? Apr 29 $966 −$960 -99%
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7? Apr 21 $213 +$40 +19%
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15? Apr 21 $927 +$517 +56%
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 10, 2026? Apr 12 $883 +$44 +5%
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of March? Apr 01 $705 +$178 +25%
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31? Mar 15 $961 −$256 -27%
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31? Mar 03 $1,000 −$497 -50%
US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026? Feb 28 $96 +$108 +113%
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? Feb 28 $703 +$552 +79%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
world 86% −$194,146
finance 7% −$3,627
sports 4% −$4,424
other 3% +$604
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30? BUY No 79¢ $18 37m
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30? BUY No 79¢ $770 37m
Israel closes its airspace by June 13? SELL No 98¢ $788 38m
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? BUY No 76¢ $220 42m
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June? BUY No 89¢ $452 5h
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June? BUY No 88¢ $77 5h
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30? BUY No 89¢ $213 5h
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026? SELL No 94¢ $743 5h
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Spurs 93¢ $2,155 37h
Israel closes its airspace by June 10? SELL No 100¢ $2,144 37h
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Spurs 89¢ $4,013 38h
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June? SELL No 92¢ $3,992 38h
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Spurs 89¢ $1,003 38h
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Spurs 88¢ $299 38h
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? SELL No 81¢ $1,334 38h
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Spurs 86¢ $635 38h
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Spurs 86¢ $2,008 38h
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? SELL No 81¢ $2,643 38h
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Spurs 78¢ $492 38h
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026? SELL No 91¢ $491 38h
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? BUY No 68¢ $318 40h
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026? SELL No 91¢ $318 40h
Israel closes its airspace by June 13? BUY No 86¢ $955 40h
Israel closes its airspace by June 15? BUY No 90¢ $2,000 3d
Israel closes its airspace by June 15? BUY No 90¢ $2,000 3d
Israel closes its airspace by June 14? BUY No 93¢ $787 3d
Israel closes its airspace by June 13? BUY No 96¢ $2,000 3d
Israel closes its airspace by June 12? BUY No 96¢ $2,000 3d
Israel closes its airspace by June 11? BUY No 98¢ $77 3d
Israel closes its airspace by June 11? BUY No 98¢ $138 3d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +27%
net ROI/market (all)-32.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 7 -31.6% -38.2% 57% 0% -83.0%
≤30d 34 -38.6% -44.4% 50% 21% -56.5%
≤90d 46 -30.2% -36.8% 57% 24% -54.5%
all 49 -25.4% -32.5% 57% 27% -54.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover6.1 tr/day
realistic slip~12%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -32.5% 27% -54.3%
10% ← realistic here -39.0% 14% -58.7%
15% -44.9% 8% -62.6%
20% -50.3% 8% -66.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $208,744.93 · official $208,768.31 (match) · 824 history records