Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T06:06:01+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
EB 0xeb37…9c8c crypto 181 markets active 7d ago coverage 53d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist
✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL −$15 (-2%) realized −$15 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -4% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -16% what you keep after slip
Net edge-16%after slip
Net WR29%break-even
Win rate67%121W / 60L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$5per market
Trades / day7.8pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days−$11
14 days−$29
30 days−$29
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$23
weather 0% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +29%
net ROI/market (all)-13.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 27 -7.6% -16.4% 78% 67% -17.6%
≤30d 146 -6.9% -15.8% 71% 25% -13.1%
≤90d 181 -3.9% -13.1% 67% 29% -12.2%
all 181 -3.9% -13.1% 67% 29% -12.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover7.8 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -13.1% 29% -12.2%
10% -21.4% 15% -20.6%
15% -29.0% 10% -28.3%
20% -35.9% 9% -35.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 9% · top 2 15% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -3% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
56% wins margin < slip thin win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -4% · $-wt -3% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -7% → late -1% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
2.1 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$2 · ×0.4 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.8 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

53d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$15
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)67%
Wins / losses121 / 60
Open positions0
Markets (closed)181 / 181
History coverage53d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day7.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 181 Trades
no open positions (32 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 10 $4 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 10 $4 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 10 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 10 $4 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 10 $4 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 10 $4 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 10 $4 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 10 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 10 $4 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 10 $4 $0 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 10 $4 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 10 $4 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 10 $4 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 10 $4 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 10 $4 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 10 $9 −$4 -44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 10 $4 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 10 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 10 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 10 $4 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 10 $4 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 10 $4 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 10 $4 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 10 $4 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 10 $4 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 10 $4 $0 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 10 $4 $0 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 10 $4 $0 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 10 $3 +$1 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 07 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 07 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 07 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 07 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 07 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 07 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 07 $2 $0 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 07 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 07 $2 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 07 $3 −$1 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 06 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 06 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 06 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 06 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 06 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 06 $5 $0 +2%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $4 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $4 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $4 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $4 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $4 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $3 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $4 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $4 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET SELL Up 97¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $4 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $4 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET SELL Down 95¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $4 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $4 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $4 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $4 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $4 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $4 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $4 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $4 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $4 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $4 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $4 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $4 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET SELL Down 86¢ $4 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $4 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $4 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $4 6d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 554 history records