Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T02:44:32+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

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EB 0xeb37…dcec crypto 801 markets active 1h ago coverage 36d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 35d only
✗ bot/MM pace (86 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$545 (-4%) realized −$545 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -4% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -26% what you keep after slip
Net edge-26%after slip
Net WR41%break-even
Win rate57%459W / 342L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$16per market
Trades / day86.0pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$2
7 days−$31
14 days−$56
30 days−$816
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$918
other 0% +$13
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (86 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +41%
net ROI/market (all)-12.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 129 -5.0% -14.1% 56% 40% -10.9%
≤30d 542 -3.8% -12.9% 48% 35% -15.9%
≤90d 801 -3.7% -12.9% 57% 41% -15.6%
all 801 -3.7% -12.9% 57% 41% -15.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover86.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.9% 41% -15.6%
10% ← realistic here -21.2% 27% -23.7%
15% -28.8% 18% -31.1%
20% -35.8% 10% -37.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 2% · top 2 4% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -7% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
25% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -4% · $-wt -7% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -3% → late -5% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
3.1 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$3 vs −$7 · ×0.45 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.6 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

36d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$545
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)57%
Wins / losses459 / 342
Open positions0
Markets (closed)801 / 801
History coverage36d ⚠
Avg bet$16
Trades / day86.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 801 Trades
no open positions (104 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 17 $16 −$6 -38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 17 $11 −$10 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 17 $31 +$2 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 17 $10 +$5 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 17 $31 +$1 +3%
Will France win on 2026-06-16? Jun 16 $26 +$13 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 15 $11 −$5 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 15 $10 +$3 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 15 $11 −$7 -67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 15 $16 −$15 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 15 $26 +$4 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 15 $15 +$9 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 15 $46 +$3 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 15 $11 −$10 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 15 $10 −$5 -51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 15 $21 −$7 -36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 15 $28 +$2 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$4 -41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 14 $26 −$1 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 14 $16 +$3 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 14 $31 −$10 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 14 $31 −$7 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$17 +158%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 14 $31 +$3 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 14 $16 −$15 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$17 +331%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 14 $21 −$5 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $31 −$3 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 13 $16 +$9 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 13 $36 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $41 −$4 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 13 $16 +$17 +109%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 13 $21 −$20 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $20 +$7 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 13 $31 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 13 $21 +$5 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 13 $16 +$7 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$5 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 13 $21 +$10 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 13 $34 −$1 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 13 $46 +$9 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$2 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 13 $30 +$6 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$17 +159%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET SELL Down 15¢ $5 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET SELL Up 81¢ $5 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Up 82¢ $5 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Down 28¢ $5 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Down 32¢ $5 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 20¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET SELL Down 18¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET SELL Down 53¢ $14 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET SELL Up 46¢ $17 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Up 22¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Up 31¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Down 31¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 33¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Down 79¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET SELL Up 4¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET SELL Down 95¢ $24 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Up 20¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $5 1h
Will France win on 2026-06-16? BUY Yes 66¢ $26 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET SELL Down 12¢ $5 39h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Down 16¢ $5 39h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Down 33¢ $5 39h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records