Wallet analysis

2026-06-23T17:14:11+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

3.0
score
EB 0xeb35…ed57 other 9 markets active 2h ago coverage 164d
RISKYcopy with care ⚠ Small sample
✗ too few resolved markets (<12) to judge✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL −$1,111 (-49%) realized −$1,174 · open +$63
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -44% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -50% what you keep after slip
Net edge-50%after slip
Net WR0%break-even
Win rate0%0W / 7L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$251per market
Trades / day0.2pace
Fees−$11est.
Kalshi-fit44%portable
Net worth$108now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 164d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
other 71% −$584
sports 22% −$486
crypto 7% −$25
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-49.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 4 -55.1% -59.3% 0% 0% -62.5%
≤30d 4 -55.1% -59.3% 0% 0% -62.5%
≤90d 4 -55.1% -59.3% 0% 0% -62.5%
all 7 -44.3% -49.6% 0% 0% -59.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover0.2 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -49.6% 0% -59.6%
10% -54.4% 0% -63.5%
15% -58.8% 0% -67.0%
20% -62.9% 0% -70.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top —% · top 2 —% thin sample
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -58% too few recent
Fragile wins
—% wins margin < slip thin sample
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -44% · $-wt -55% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early —% → late —% no data
Add-ons / DCA
3.0 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
— vs −$193 no data
Profit factor
×0.0 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

164d coverage
Net worth$108
Realized−$1,174
Unrealized+$63
Win rate (resolved)0%
Wins / losses0 / 7
Est. fees paid−$11
Open positions1
Markets (closed)7 / 9
History coverage164d
Avg bet$251
Trades / day0.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit44%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 1 History 7 Trades
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Cristiano Ronaldo: 2+ goals Yes 28¢ 67¢ $45 $108 +$63 (+139%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%). Plus 2 resolved losing bets — already counted in realized PnL, so not shown here.
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will United States vs. Australia end in a draw? Jun 19 $497 −$486 -98%
Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ goals Jun 17 $567 −$559 -99%
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 17 $822 −$81 -10%
Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 0 DR Congo? Jun 17 $68 −$7 -10%
Solana Up or Down - January 10, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jan 10 $27 −$24 -88%
Solana Up or Down - January 10, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jan 10 $50 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - January 10, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jan 10 $80 −$1 -2%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Cristiano Ronaldo: 2+ goals BUY Yes 28¢ $46 1h
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21? AND Will Spain win on 2026-06-21? AND Wi BUY 8¢ $103 2d
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21? AND Will Spain win on 2026-06-21? AND Wi BUY 8¢ $2 2d
Will United States vs. Australia end in a draw? BUY Yes 22¢ $497 3d
Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ goals BUY Yes 55¢ $567 6d
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 10¢ $507 6d
Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 0 DR Congo? SELL Yes 16¢ $61 6d
Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 0 DR Congo? BUY Yes 17¢ $68 6d
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 10¢ $68 6d
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 10¢ $36 6d
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 10¢ $32 6d
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 11¢ $21 7d
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 11¢ $127 7d
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 11¢ $24 7d
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 11¢ $84 7d
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 11¢ $33 7d
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 11¢ $103 7d
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 11¢ $19 8d
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 11¢ $58 8d
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 11¢ $84 9d
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 11¢ $74 10d
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 11¢ $65 10d
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 11¢ $227 10d
Solana Up or Down - January 10, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET SELL Down 4¢ $3 164d
Solana Up or Down - January 10, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 34¢ $27 164d
Solana Up or Down - January 10, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $25 164d
Solana Up or Down - January 10, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $25 164d
Solana Up or Down - January 10, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $11 164d
Solana Up or Down - January 10, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 164d
Solana Up or Down - January 10, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $5 164d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $108.28 · official $108.28 (match) · 46 history records