Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T10:48:11+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

EB
0xeb29…2ba2
crypto · 34 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$850 -21%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$410 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$410
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)65%
Wins / losses22 / 12
Est. fees paid−$16
Open positions0
Markets (closed)34 / 34
History coverage2d
Avg bet$118
Trades / day33.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit97%
Chart Positions 0 History 34 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$410
7 days−$410
14 days−$410
30 days−$410
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Down 10¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 9z 83¢ 0¢ $328 $0 −$328 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Down 18¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 14 $26 +$24 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 14 $26 +$17 +66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 14 $103 −$100 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 14 $31 +$18 +59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 14 $103 −$100 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 14 $143 +$36 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 14 $26 −$25 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 14 $51 −$51 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 14 $31 +$6 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 14 $56 +$21 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 14 $100 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 14 $52 +$18 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 14 $25 +$3 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 14 $26 +$50 +190%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 14 $129 −$129 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 14 $25 +$3 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 14 $103 +$72 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 14 $131 −$131 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 14 $26 +$14 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 14 $26 +$11 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 14 $104 −$100 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 14 $27 +$29 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 14 $26 +$40 +152%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 14 $26 +$12 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 14 $26 +$10 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 14 $25 +$8 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 14 $104 −$104 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 14 $311 +$127 +41%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $1,294 −$353 -27%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $15 +$17 +109%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $784 +$167 +21%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 52% −$187
crypto 48% −$240
other 0% +$17
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $26 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $26 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $103 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET SELL Up 22¢ $2 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $5 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $26 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $103 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $102 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $41 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $26 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Down 18¢ $5 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Down 7¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET SELL Down 28¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 29¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET SELL Down 17¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Down 34¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $102 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $100 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET SELL Up 50¢ $27 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Up 33¢ $26 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $27 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Up 23¢ $26 8h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +59%
net ROI/market (all)-7.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 34 +1.9% -7.8% 65% 59% -21.0%
≤30d 34 +1.9% -7.8% 65% 59% -21.0%
≤90d 34 +1.9% -7.8% 65% 59% -21.0%
all 34 +1.9% -7.8% 65% 59% -21.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover33.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -7.8% 59% -21.0%
10% ← realistic here -16.6% 50% -28.6%
15% -24.7% 41% -35.5%
20% -32.1% 26% -41.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 99 history records