Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T06:53:52+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

EB
0xeb1d…59b0
weather · 1489 markets active 1h ago
1.5score
+$5,037 +11%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$4,973 · open +$38
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY weather specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$26,828
Realized+$4,973
Unrealized+$38
Win rate (resolved)96%
Wins / losses665 / 26
Open positions442
Markets (closed)691 / 1489
History coverage3d
Avg bet$31
Trades / day901.7
Drawdown0%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 442 History 691 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$4,743
7 days+$4,973
14 days+$4,973
30 days+$4,973
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 22°C on June 13? No 100¢ 100¢ $758 $759 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 84-85°F on June 12? No 100¢ 100¢ $589 $592 +$2 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 38°C on June 13? No 100¢ 100¢ $578 $578 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 86°F or higher on June 12? No 100¢ 100¢ $542 $543 +$1 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C or below on June 12? No 100¢ 100¢ $515 $516 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 10°C or below on June 13? No 100¢ 100¢ $506 $506 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on June 13? No 100¢ 100¢ $492 $492 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 39°C on June 13? No 100¢ 100¢ $473 $473 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 40°C or higher on June 13? No 100¢ 100¢ $451 $451 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 10°C or below on June 14? No 100¢ 100¢ $412 $412 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 20°C on June 13? No 100¢ 100¢ $406 $407 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 19°C or below on June 13? No 100¢ 100¢ $406 $407 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on June 13? No 100¢ 100¢ $406 $407 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on June 13? No 100¢ 100¢ $406 $407 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 37°C or higher on June 13? No 100¢ 100¢ $406 $407 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 24°C on June 13? No 100¢ 100¢ $373 $373 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 37°C on June 13? No 100¢ 100¢ $365 $365 −$0 (-0%)
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 43°C on June 13? No 100¢ 100¢ $356 $356 −$0 (-0%)
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C or below on June 14? No 100¢ 100¢ $331 $331 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on June 13? No 100¢ 100¢ $321 $322 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 88°F or higher on June 13? No 100¢ 100¢ $322 $321 −$1 (-0%)
Will the Steam Machine cost $700 or more at release? Yes 70¢ 90¢ $248 $317 +$69 (+28%)
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on June 12? No 100¢ 100¢ $315 $316 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C or higher on June 14? No 100¢ 100¢ $311 $311 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 40°C on June 14? No 100¢ 100¢ $311 $311 +$0 (+0%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on June Jun 13 $15 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on June Jun 13 $15 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 100-101°F on June 9? Jun 13 $15 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on June 10? Jun 13 $15 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 100-101°F on June 10 Jun 13 $15 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 102-103°F on June 10 Jun 13 $15 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 86-87°F on June Jun 13 $15 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C or higher on June 10? Jun 13 $15 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on June 10? Jun 13 $14 $0 +3%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on June 10? Jun 13 $14 $0 +2%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on June 10? Jun 13 $14 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on June 9? Jun 13 $13 $0 +3%
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on June 10? Jun 13 $13 +$1 +7%
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C on June 10? Jun 13 $13 +$1 +6%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on June 10? Jun 13 $13 $0 +2%
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C or higher on June Jun 13 $13 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 22°C on June 10? Jun 13 $13 +$1 +5%
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on Ju Jun 13 $13 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 32°C on June 10? Jun 13 $13 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on June 10? Jun 13 $13 +$1 +4%
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C on June 10? Jun 13 $13 $0 +3%
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on June 10? Jun 13 $13 $0 +3%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on June 10? Jun 13 $13 $0 +3%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on June 11? Jun 13 $13 $0 +3%
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 23°C on June 10? Jun 13 $13 $0 +3%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on June 10? Jun 13 $13 $0 +3%
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on June 10? Jun 13 $13 $0 +3%
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 25°C on June 10? Jun 13 $13 $0 +3%
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 25°C on June 10? Jun 13 $13 $0 +3%
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 14°C on June 10? Jun 13 $13 $0 +3%
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on June 10? Jun 13 $13 $0 +2%
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on June 10? Jun 13 $13 $0 +2%
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C or higher on June 10 Jun 13 $13 $0 +2%
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 34°C on June 10? Jun 13 $13 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on June 10? Jun 13 $13 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 10°C on June 10? Jun 13 $13 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on June 10? Jun 13 $13 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on June 10? Jun 13 $13 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 65°F or below on June 9 Jun 13 $13 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C or below on June 10? Jun 13 $13 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on June 10? Jun 13 $13 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on June 11? Jun 13 $13 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on June 10? Jun 13 $12 $0 +4%
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 98-99°F on June 9? Jun 13 $11 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on June Jun 13 $11 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on June 11? Jun 13 $11 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on June 10 Jun 13 $11 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on June Jun 13 $11 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on June 10? Jun 13 $11 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 84-85°F on June Jun 13 $11 $0 +0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
weather 97% +$4,986
other 3% +$15
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 41°C on June 13? BUY No 100¢ $202 1h
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 41°C on June 13? BUY No 100¢ $5 1h
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 40°C on June 13? BUY No 100¢ $4 1h
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 39°C on June 13? BUY No 100¢ $3 1h
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 38°C on June 13? BUY No 98¢ $2 1h
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 39°C on June 13? BUY No 100¢ $3 1h
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 38°C on June 13? BUY No 100¢ $3 1h
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 37°C on June 13? BUY No 94¢ $2 1h
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on June 13? BUY No 100¢ $3 1h
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on June 13? BUY No 99¢ $3 1h
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 13? BUY No 96¢ $2 1h
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C on June 13? BUY No 100¢ $20 1h
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 36°C on June 13? BUY No 100¢ $134 1h
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 37°C on June 13? BUY No 100¢ $221 1h
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 38°C on June 13? BUY No 100¢ $181 1h
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 39°C on June 13? BUY No 100¢ $241 1h
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 40°C or higher on June 13? BUY No 100¢ $120 1h
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 38°C on June 13? BUY No 100¢ $6 1h
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 37°C on June 13? BUY No 100¢ $6 1h
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 36°C on June 13? BUY No 100¢ $4 1h
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C on June 13? BUY No 100¢ $4 1h
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on June 13? BUY No 100¢ $3 1h
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on June 13? BUY No 97¢ $2 1h
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on June 13? BUY No 100¢ $51 1h
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 32°C on June 13? BUY No 100¢ $252 1h
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 32°C on June 13? BUY No 100¢ $5 1h
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on June 13? BUY No 100¢ $3 1h
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on June 13? BUY No 99¢ $3 1h
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on June 13? BUY No 100¢ $26 1h
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on June 13? BUY No 100¢ $163 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +49%
net ROI/market (all)+42.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 691 +57.7% +42.7% 96% 49% +13.2%
≤30d 691 +57.7% +42.7% 96% 49% +13.2%
≤90d 691 +57.7% +42.7% 96% 49% +13.2%
all 691 +57.7% +42.7% 96% 49% +13.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover901.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +42.7% 49% +13.2%
10% ← realistic here +29.0% 44% +2.4%
15% +16.6% 40% -7.5%
20% +5.1% 38% -16.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $26,827.56 · official $29,559.46 · 3500 history records