Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T18:08:11+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

EB
0xeb1c…99bb
other · 9 markets active 2h ago
4.5score
+$35 +122%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$34 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY ⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$13
Realized+$34
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)60%
Wins / losses3 / 2
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions4
Markets (closed)5 / 9
History coverage2d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day6.5
Drawdown12%
Kalshi-fit44%
Chart Positions 4 History 5 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$35
7 days+$34
14 days+$34
30 days+$34
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador end in a draw? Yes 34¢ 34¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-1%)
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? Yes 26¢ 26¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-2%)
Exact Score: Netherlands 0 - 1 Japan? Yes 10¢ 8¢ $4 $3 −$1 (-15%)
Spread: Japan (-2.5) Japan 3¢ 2¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-9%)
Exact Score: Any Other Score? Yes 25¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Exact Score: Canada 2 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Yes 11¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? Jun 14 $4 +$11 +276%
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 1 Morocco? Jun 14 $4 +$23 +550%
Exact Score: Any Other Score? Jun 13 $4 −$4 -98%
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 12 $1 +$6 +550%
Exact Score: Canada 2 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 50% +$23
sports 36% +$11
crypto 14% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador end in a draw? BUY Yes 34¢ $4 1h
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 26¢ $4 1h
Exact Score: Netherlands 0 - 1 Japan? BUY Yes 10¢ $4 1h
Spread: Japan (-2.5) BUY Japan 3¢ $2 1h
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? SELL Yes 100¢ $15 16h
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? BUY Yes 26¢ $1 26h
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? BUY Yes 26¢ $3 26h
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 1 Morocco? BUY Yes 15¢ $1 26h
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 1 Morocco? BUY Yes 15¢ $3 26h
Exact Score: Any Other Score? BUY Yes 25¢ $1 26h
Exact Score: Any Other Score? BUY Yes 25¢ $3 26h
Exact Score: Canada 2 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY Yes 11¢ $1 2d
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY Yes 15¢ $1 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +60%
net ROI/market (all)+203.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 5 +235.2% +203.3% 60% 60% +209.9%
≤30d 5 +235.2% +203.3% 60% 60% +209.9%
≤90d 5 +235.2% +203.3% 60% 60% +209.9%
all 5 +235.2% +203.3% 60% 60% +209.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover6.5 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +203.3% 60% +209.9%
10% +174.2% 60% +180.3%
15% +147.7% 60% +153.2%
20% +123.5% 60% +128.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $13.08 · official $13.08 (match) · 15 history records