Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T03:45:35+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
EB 0xeb12…d2b1 crypto 95 markets active 15h ago coverage 7d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (69 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died! concentrated profit (few bets)
Total PnL −$984 (-21%) realized −$984 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -32% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -48% what you keep after slip
Net edge-48%after slip
Net WR18%break-even
Win rate26%24W / 70L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$49per market
Trades / day69.2pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 7d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$1,071
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (69 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +18%
net ROI/market (all)-38.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 14 -57.3% -61.3% 14% 14% -56.7%
≤30d 94 -32.3% -38.7% 26% 18% -30.3%
≤90d 94 -32.3% -38.7% 26% 18% -30.3%
all 94 -32.3% -38.7% 26% 18% -30.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover69.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -38.7% 18% -30.3%
10% ← realistic here -44.6% 12% -37.0%
15% -49.9% 9% -43.1%
20% -54.8% 7% -48.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 35% · top 2 50% concentrated in a few bets
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -23% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
21% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -32% · $-wt -23% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -42% → late -23% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
4.9 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$13 vs −$20 · ×0.66 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.23 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

7d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$984
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)26%
Wins / losses24 / 70
Open positions1
Markets (closed)94 / 95
History coverage7d
Avg bet$49
Trades / day69.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 1 History 94 Trades
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June? Yes 44¢ 32¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-28%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 12? Jun 12 $175 −$175 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET Jun 11 $281 −$83 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1PM ET Jun 11 $72 −$72 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 11 $181 +$111 +61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 11 $129 −$36 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12PM ET Jun 11 $54 −$54 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 11 $53 −$53 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 11 $31 −$31 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 11 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 11 $90 −$90 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 11 $22 +$43 +194%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 11 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 11 $132 −$132 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 10 $105 −$105 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 10 $44 −$1 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 10 $216 −$4 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 10 $50 −$5 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 10 $38 +$2 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 10 $41 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 10 $128 −$6 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 10 $126 −$24 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 10 $81 −$1 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 10 $41 −$1 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 10 $45 −$6 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 10 $82 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 10 $78 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 10 $21 −$2 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 10 $129 −$32 -25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 10 $42 −$3 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 10 $133 −$12 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 10 $46 −$7 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 10 $82 −$3 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 10 $17 +$3 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 10 $63 −$4 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 10 $83 −$14 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 10 $30 +$4 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 10 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 10 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 10 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 10 $51 −$11 -21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 10 $69 −$5 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 09 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 09 $9 +$11 +124%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 09 $16 +$4 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 09 $23 −$2 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 09 $8 +$12 +146%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 09 $26 −$6 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 09 $16 +$4 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 09 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 09 $8 −$8 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June? SELL Yes 42¢ $0 14h
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June? SELL Yes 42¢ $4 14h
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June? BUY Yes 44¢ $5 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 14¢ $28 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 12? BUY Down 32¢ $64 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 12? BUY Down 36¢ $71 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 12? BUY Down 36¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 12? BUY Down 37¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 12? BUY Down 39¢ $8 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 12? BUY Down 39¢ $0 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 12? BUY Down 39¢ $8 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 12? BUY Down 40¢ $6 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 12? BUY Down 40¢ $14 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 12? BUY Down 40¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 12? BUY Down 40¢ $2 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $50 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $151 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $14 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $6 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 31¢ $62 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $9 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $2 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 34¢ $2 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 34¢ $6 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $18 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $14 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $2 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $2 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $2 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $2 5d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.22 · official $0.00 (match) · 566 history records