Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T20:10:17+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

EB
0xeb09…a695
crypto · 93 markets active 1h ago
4.5score
+$144 +3%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$116 · open −$6
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$506
Realized+$116
Unrealized−$6
Win rate (resolved)60%
Wins / losses53 / 36
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions4
Markets (closed)89 / 93
History coverage227d
Avg bet$53
Trades / day0.6
Drawdown38%
Kalshi-fit80%
Chart Positions 4 History 89 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$2
7 days+$28
14 days+$28
30 days+$28
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $56,000 and $58,000 on June 15? No 100¢ 100¢ $500 $500 −$0 (-0%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 15? Yes 49¢ 50¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+1%)
Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Yes 8¢ 2¢ $2 $1 −$1 (-70%)
Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 June 8-14? Yes 24¢ 3¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-89%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February? Yes 28¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Will any E.U. country strike Iran by March 31? Yes 3¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on March 20? Yes 16¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch? Yes 30¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
LoL: LNG Esports vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana LNG Esports 56¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Favbet vs ESC Gaming (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #18 Playoffs ESC Gaming 36¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on March 20? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Qatar strike Iran by March 31? Yes 12¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch? Yes 10¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February? Yes 40¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
TCU Horned Frogs vs. Ohio State Buckeyes Ohio State Buckeyes 52¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch? Yes 37¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on March 20? No 1¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch? Yes 85¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch? Yes 92¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 May 11-17? Yes 13¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on March 20? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in November? Yes 55¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Under 1¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March? Yes 24¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on June 13? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Jun 14 $3 $0 -0%
Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 June 8-14? Jun 14 $400 −$1 -0%
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? Jun 14 $5 +$1 +13%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 13? Jun 13 $500 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on June 13? Jun 13 $2 −$2 -94%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 12? Jun 12 $500 +$1 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 10? Jun 10 $401 +$7 +2%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 10? Jun 09 $12 −$12 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 9? Jun 09 $324 +$32 +10%
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals? Jun 09 $2 +$1 +62%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 19? Jun 09 $440 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 19? May 19 $200 $0 -0%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T? May 19 $5 $0 +4%
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? May 19 $5 $0 -9%
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 19 $5 $0 +2%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 19? May 19 $249 −$1 -0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 19? May 19 $50 $0 +0%
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 on May 18? May 19 $219 +$1 +0%
Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 May 11-17? May 18 $100 $0 +0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 May 11-17? May 16 $2 −$2 -94%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 11? May 16 $50 $0 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 11? May 16 $100 +$1 +1%
76ers vs. Pacers May 11 $20 +$2 +12%
Based FDV above $50M one day after launch? Apr 10 $5 +$1 +12%
Celtics vs. Heat Apr 10 $10 +$5 +52%
Hawks vs. Magic Apr 10 $10 +$7 +73%
LoL: LNG Esports vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana Apr 10 $10 −$10 -99%
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March? Apr 01 $5 +$8 +162%
Will UAE strike Iran by March 31? Apr 01 $2 $0 +22%
Based FDV above $200M one day after launch? Apr 01 $2 $0 +15%
Based FDV above $75M one day after launch? Apr 01 $2 +$1 +39%
Based FDV above $100M one day after launch? Apr 01 $2 +$4 +223%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? Mar 25 $7 −$7 -100%
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31? Mar 25 $5 +$1 +11%
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March? Mar 25 $5 +$15 +290%
Miami Open: Ethan Quinn vs Hubert Hurkacz Mar 25 $2 +$2 +122%
Lakers vs. Heat Mar 25 $5 +$7 +138%
Murcia: Felix Gill vs Pablo Carreno Busta Mar 25 $4 +$9 +223%
Will annual inflation increase by ≥3.4% in March? Mar 19 $5 −$5 -100%
Will any E.U. country strike Iran by March 31? Mar 19 $3 −$3 -100%
Will Qatar strike Iran by March 31? Mar 19 $2 −$2 -100%
Counter-Strike: Favbet vs ESC Gaming (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #18 Pla Mar 19 $2 −$2 -100%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Mar 19 $2 −$2 -100%
TCU Horned Frogs vs. Ohio State Buckeyes Mar 19 $2 −$2 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on March 20? Mar 19 $2 −$2 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on March 20? Mar 19 $2 −$2 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on March 20? Mar 19 $2 −$2 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on March 20? Mar 19 $2 −$2 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on March 20? Mar 19 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March? Mar 19 $10 −$10 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 95% +$94
sports 2% +$14
other 1% −$10
world 1% −$11
politics 1% +$2
finance 0% +$13
tech 0% $0
culture 0% +$7
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 15? BUY Yes 49¢ $5 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $56,000 and $58,000 on June 15? BUY No 100¢ $500 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $56,000 and $58,000 on June 15? SELL No 100¢ $499 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $56,000 and $58,000 on June 15? BUY No 100¢ $500 1h
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? SELL Yes 43¢ $3 1h
Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 June 8-14? SELL No 99¢ $400 1h
Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 June 8-14? SELL Yes 8¢ $1 36h
Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 June 8-14? BUY No 99¢ $400 36h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 13? SELL Yes 100¢ $450 36h
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on June 13? BUY Yes 1¢ $2 39h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 13? BUY Yes 100¢ $500 39h
Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 June 8-14? BUY Yes 24¢ $8 2d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 12? BUY Yes 100¢ $500 2d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 10? BUY No 69¢ $12 5d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 10? BUY Yes 98¢ $401 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 9? SELL Down 79¢ $156 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 9? BUY Down 80¢ $14 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 9? BUY Down 80¢ $40 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 9? BUY Down 80¢ $4 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 9? BUY Down 80¢ $266 5d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 19? SELL Yes 100¢ $37 26d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 19? SELL Yes 100¢ $30 26d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 19? SELL Yes 100¢ $92 26d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 19? SELL Yes 100¢ $15 26d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 19? SELL Yes 100¢ $26 26d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 19? BUY Yes 100¢ $250 26d
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T? SELL Yes 98¢ $5 26d
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? SELL Yes 21¢ $5 26d
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 9¢ $5 26d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 19? SELL Yes 99¢ $248 26d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +40%
net ROI/market (all)-0.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 11 -10.3% -18.9% 64% 18% -8.5%
≤30d 22 -9.8% -18.4% 64% 9% -8.8%
≤90d 51 -3.7% -12.8% 57% 33% -8.6%
all 89 +10.2% -0.3% 60% 40% -6.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.6 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -0.3% 40% -6.8%
10% -9.8% 29% -15.7%
15% -18.5% 25% -23.9%
20% -26.5% 21% -31.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $505.87 · official $505.87 (match) · 200 history records