Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T20:18:07+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
EA 0xeaf8…9f45 sports 176 markets active 0h ago coverage 18d ⚠
BOTnot copyable sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 18d only
✗ bot/MM pace (187 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL +$392 (+1%) realized +$392 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -2% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -25% what you keep after slip
Net edge-25%after slip
Net WR21%break-even
Win rate69%121W / 55L
Whale WR68%big bets
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$427per market
Trades / day186.5pace
Fees−$1,028est.
Kalshi-fit66%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$668
7 days−$710
14 days−$90
30 days−$118
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
sports 63% −$1,303
other 36% +$1,155
crypto 2% +$29
world 0% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (187 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +21%
net ROI/market (all)-11.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 71 -8.2% -16.9% 68% 18% -10.9%
≤30d 176 -2.1% -11.5% 69% 21% -9.1%
≤90d 176 -2.1% -11.5% 69% 21% -9.1%
all 176 -2.1% -11.5% 69% 21% -9.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover186.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.5% 21% -9.1%
10% ← realistic here -19.9% 12% -17.8%
15% -27.7% 8% -25.7%
20% -34.8% 3% -33.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 13% · top 2 21% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
69% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -2% · $-wt -0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 68% (≥$500) strong on big bets
Persistence
early +5% → late -9% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
10.5 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$36 vs −$82 · ×0.44 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.97 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $300 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

18d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$392
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)69%
Wins / losses121 / 55
Whale WR (big bets)68%
Est. fees paid−$1,028
Open positions0
Markets (closed)176 / 176
History coverage18d ⚠
Avg bet$427
Trades / day186.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit66%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 176 Trades
no open positions (17 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will England win on 2026-06-17? Jun 17 $1,813 +$126 +7%
England vs. Croatia: O/U 1.5 Jun 17 $220 −$73 -33%
Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5 Jun 17 $2,560 −$58 -2%
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? Jun 17 $3,424 +$573 +17%
Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 1.5 Jun 17 $75 +$11 +14%
Argentina vs. Algeria: O/U 1.5 Jun 17 $212 +$96 +45%
Argentina vs. Algeria: O/U 0.5 Jun 17 $83 +$19 +23%
Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 4.5 Jun 16 $547 −$25 -4%
Will Fortaleza EC win on 2026-06-16? Jun 16 $23 −$1 -2%
Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 5.5 Jun 16 $245 +$3 +1%
Will Erling Haaland win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 16 $3 +$1 +32%
Will Norway win on 2026-06-16? Jun 16 $220 +$49 +22%
Iraq vs. Norway: 1st Half O/U 1.5 Jun 16 $132 +$2 +2%
Iraq vs. Norway: 1st Half O/U 0.5 Jun 16 $386 −$71 -18%
France vs. Senegal: O/U 0.5 Jun 16 $309 +$7 +2%
France vs. Senegal: O/U 4.5 Jun 16 $87 +$79 +91%
France vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5 Jun 16 $638 −$59 -9%
France vs. Senegal: O/U 1.5 Jun 16 $364 −$7 -2%
France vs. Senegal: 1st Half O/U 0.5 Jun 16 $358 +$7 +2%
Will Londrina EC win on 2026-06-15? Jun 16 $25 +$5 +20%
Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: O/U 2.5 Jun 16 $270 +$24 +9%
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15? Jun 15 $134 −$21 -16%
Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: 1st Half O/U 1.5 Jun 15 $320 −$19 -6%
Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5 Jun 15 $400 +$12 +3%
Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 3.5 Jun 15 $11 −$11 -100%
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-15? Jun 15 $136 +$1 +1%
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? Jun 15 $804 +$22 +3%
Belgium vs. Egypt: 1st Half O/U 1.5 Jun 15 $71 +$2 +3%
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 0.5 Jun 15 $134 +$6 +4%
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: 1st Half O/U 1.5 Jun 15 $145 +$2 +2%
Nottingham Open: Qinwen Zheng vs Maria Sakkari Jun 15 $220 +$11 +5%
Nottingham Open: Tatjana Maria vs Janice Tjen Jun 15 $49 −$49 -99%
UFC Freedom 250: Kyle Daukaus vs. Bo Nickal (Middleweight, Main Card) Jun 15 $659 +$15 +2%
UFC Freedom 250: Steve Garcia vs. Diego Lopes (Featherweight, Main Car Jun 15 $187 +$7 +4%
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14? Jun 15 $733 $0 +0%
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: O/U 0.5 Jun 15 $95 +$1 +1%
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14? Jun 15 $110 +$1 +1%
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: O/U 1.5 Jun 15 $7 $0 +3%
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: 1st Half O/U 0.5 Jun 14 $1,312 +$13 +1%
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $218 −$11 -5%
Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 4.5 Jun 14 $7 $0 +3%
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? Jun 14 $22 −$8 -38%
Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 3.5 Jun 14 $916 −$152 -17%
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? Jun 14 $310 +$4 +1%
Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 1.5 Jun 14 $345 −$3 -1%
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 5.5 Jun 14 $233 −$128 -55%
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 4.5 Jun 14 $125 +$5 +4%
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $73 +$19 +27%
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-07? Jun 14 $2,568 −$32 -1%
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 14 $129 +$26 +20%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will England win on 2026-06-17? SELL Yes 78¢ $1,199 2m
Will England win on 2026-06-17? BUY Yes 78¢ $600 2m
Will England win on 2026-06-17? BUY Yes 78¢ $600 2m
Will England win on 2026-06-17? SELL Yes 74¢ $740 6m
Will England win on 2026-06-17? BUY Yes 60¢ $608 8m
Will England win on 2026-06-17? BUY Yes 58¢ $5 8m
England vs. Croatia: O/U 1.5 SELL Under 13¢ $126 9m
England vs. Croatia: O/U 1.5 SELL Under 13¢ $22 9m
England vs. Croatia: O/U 1.5 BUY Under 17¢ $4 9m
England vs. Croatia: O/U 1.5 BUY Under 19¢ $216 9m
Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5 SELL Under 97¢ $499 1h
Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5 SELL Under 97¢ $137 1h
Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 94¢ $600 1h
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? SELL No 94¢ $173 1h
Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5 SELL Under 89¢ $74 1h
Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5 SELL Under 89¢ $8 1h
Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5 SELL Under 89¢ $16 1h
Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 87¢ $5 1h
Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 87¢ $15 1h
Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 87¢ $33 1h
Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 87¢ $5 1h
Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 87¢ $53 1h
Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5 SELL Under 88¢ $26 1h
Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5 SELL Under 88¢ $201 1h
Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 86¢ $111 1h
Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 86¢ $111 1h
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? SELL No 88¢ $72 1h
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? SELL No 87¢ $11 1h
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? SELL No 87¢ $66 1h
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? SELL No 87¢ $34 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records