Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T21:28:10+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

EA
0xeaf6…9cf5
other · 6 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$13 +56%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$5 · open +$18
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$21
Realized−$5
Unrealized+$18
Win rate (resolved)25%
Wins / losses1 / 3
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions2
Markets (closed)4 / 6
History coverage1d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day7.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit17%
Chart Positions 2 History 4 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$5
7 days−$5
14 days−$5
30 days−$5
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Exact Score: Qatar 1 - 1 Switzerland? Yes 5¢ 100¢ $1 $21 +$20 (+1982%)
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 2 Switzerland? Yes 30¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Yes 20¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 1 Switzerland? Jun 13 $5 −$5 -95%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 3.5 AND Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $8 $0 -2%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $4 +$4 +114%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $4 −$4 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 67% +$14
sports 33% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 1 Switzerland? SELL Yes 1¢ $0 25m
Exact Score: Qatar 1 - 1 Switzerland? BUY Yes 5¢ $1 1h
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 2 Switzerland? BUY Yes 30¢ $2 1h
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 1 Switzerland? BUY Yes 18¢ $5 1h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 3.5 AND Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? SELL 61¢ $8 1h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 3.5 AND Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY 61¢ $8 3h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 100¢ $8 16h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 46¢ $4 28h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 20¢ $4 28h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +25%
net ROI/market (all)-28.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 4 -20.8% -28.4% 25% 25% -30.5%
≤30d 4 -20.8% -28.4% 25% 25% -30.5%
≤90d 4 -20.8% -28.4% 25% 25% -30.5%
all 4 -20.8% -28.4% 25% 25% -30.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover7.8 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -28.4% 25% -30.5%
10% -35.2% 25% -37.2%
15% -41.5% 25% -43.2%
20% -47.2% 25% -48.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $20.83 · official $20.85 (match) · 9 history records