Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T14:12:10+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

EA
0xeaf3…e802
sports · 224 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$22,586 -9%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$26,699 · open −$3,456
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$808
Realized−$26,699
Unrealized−$3,456
Win rate (resolved)35%
Wins / losses78 / 144
Whale WR (big bets)48%
Est. fees paid−$4,255
Open positions2
Markets (closed)222 / 224
History coverage37d
Avg bet$1,142
Trades / day75.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit90%
Chart Positions 2 History 222 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$10,508
7 days−$10,765
14 days−$21,926
30 days−$18,599
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? Yes 64¢ 16¢ $3,263 $792 −$2,471 (-76%)
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Taylor Fritz Taylor Fritz 32¢ 0¢ $1,000 $16 −$984 (-98%)
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Ugo Humbert vs Dino Prizmic Ugo Humbert 10¢ 0¢ $1,000 $0 −$1,000 (-100%)
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. RC Celta de Vigo end in a draw? Yes 33¢ 0¢ $462 $0 −$462 (-100%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 50¢ 0¢ $2,843 $0 −$2,843 (-100%)
Bengaluru 2: Petr Bar Biryukov vs Alastair Gray Petr Bar Biryukov 33¢ 0¢ $3,310 $0 −$3,310 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Hugo Gaston vs Gael Monfils Gael Monfils 19¢ 0¢ $508 $0 −$508 (-100%)
Bratislava: Alexander Shevchenko vs Vitaliy Sachko Vitaliy Sachko 14¢ 0¢ $1,531 $0 −$1,531 (-100%)
Roland Garros WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Mirra Andreeva Marta Kostyuk 8¢ 0¢ $223 $0 −$223 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $2,142 $0 −$2,142 (-100%)
Hamburg European Open: Luciano Darderi vs Yannick Hanfmann Yannick Hanfmann 15¢ 0¢ $165 $0 −$165 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldi Frances Tiafoe 38¢ 0¢ $2,530 $0 −$2,530 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Dino Prizmic Dino Prizmic 14¢ 0¢ $900 $0 −$900 (-100%)
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Harry Wendelken vs Adam Walton Adam Walton 26¢ 0¢ $2,364 $0 −$2,364 (-100%)
Roland Garros WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elsa Jacquemot Elsa Jacquemot 3¢ 0¢ $331 $0 −$331 (-100%)
Roland Garros WTA: Tatjana Maria vs Elise Mertens Tatjana Maria 6¢ 0¢ $480 $0 −$480 (-100%)
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Laura Siegemund vs Karolina Pliskova Laura Siegemund 38¢ 0¢ $2,306 $0 −$2,306 (-100%)
HSBC Championships, Qualification: James Duckworth vs Aleksandar Vukic James Duckworth 20¢ 0¢ $942 $0 −$942 (-100%)
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-23? Yes 45¢ 0¢ $495 $0 −$495 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Matteo Berrettini Juan Manuel Cerundolo 21¢ 0¢ $1,514 $0 −$1,514 (-100%)
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-05-24? Yes 16¢ 0¢ $320 $0 −$320 (-100%)
ITF Deauville: Raphael Perot vs Felix Balshaw Raphael Perot 14¢ 0¢ $211 $0 −$211 (-100%)
Knicks vs. Cavaliers Cavaliers 42¢ 0¢ $766 $0 −$766 (-100%)
Hamburg European Open: Alex de Minaur vs Tommy Paul Alex de Minaur 12¢ 0¢ $156 $0 −$156 (-100%)
GP SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem: Anhelina Kalinina vs Anna Bondar Anna Bondar 11¢ 0¢ $330 $0 −$330 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? Jun 14 $1,097 −$950 -87%
Bratislava: Alexander Shevchenko vs Taro Daniel Jun 14 $1,375 +$2,877 +209%
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Zachary Svajda vs Martin Damm Jun 14 $945 −$945 -100%
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 14 $1,125 −$1,116 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 14 $2,142 −$2,142 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 14 $1,200 −$1,200 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 14 $600 −$600 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 14 $1,281 +$719 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 14 $927 −$925 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 14 $900 −$881 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 14 $512 −$493 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 14 $1,220 +$780 +64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 14 $1,243 −$1,207 -97%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $2,884 −$2,843 -99%
Will George Russell get pole position at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand P Jun 13 $1,580 +$2,116 +134%
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Dino Prizmic vs Rinky Hijikata Jun 13 $871 +$4,129 +474%
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Harry Wendelken vs Adam Walton Jun 13 $2,398 −$2,364 -99%
HSBC Championships, Qualification: James Duckworth vs Aleksandar Vukic Jun 13 $942 −$942 -100%
Stuttgart Open: Alexander Bublik vs Taylor Fritz Jun 13 $1,932 −$1,932 -100%
Libema Open: Robin Montgomery vs Ajla Tomljanovic Jun 13 $1,280 −$1,260 -98%
Halle Open, Qualification: Jamie Mackenzie vs Alex Bolt Jun 13 $1,390 +$608 +44%
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Zachary Svajda vs Liam Broady Jun 13 $1,559 +$1,338 +86%
Bratislava: Alexander Shevchenko vs Vitaliy Sachko Jun 13 $1,556 −$1,531 -98%
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Martin Damm vs Daniel Merida Aguila Jun 13 $11 −$11 -100%
Ilkley: Darwin Blanch vs Jacob Fearnley Jun 13 $1,505 −$1,500 -100%
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? Jun 12 $879 −$861 -98%
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? Jun 12 $1,173 +$2,264 +193%
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz Jun 12 $1,025 +$1,475 +144%
Stuttgart Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Frances Tiafoe Jun 12 $1,765 −$1,723 -98%
Lyon: Daniel Galan vs Kimmer Coppejans Jun 12 $1,728 +$1,372 +79%
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Kamil Majchrzak Jun 12 $2,258 −$2,240 -99%
Ilkley: Henrique Rocha vs Darwin Blanch Jun 12 $534 −$520 -97%
Lyon: Marco Trungelliti vs Daniel Galan Jun 11 $124 −$28 -22%
Libema Open: Gabriela Ruse vs Elise Mertens Jun 11 $59 −$59 -100%
ITF Wuning: Mei Yamaguchi vs Junhan Zhang Jun 11 $154 −$151 -98%
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-10? Jun 11 $90 +$60 +67%
HSBC Championships: Marie Bouzkova vs Donna Vekic Jun 10 $124 −$8 -6%
Cattolica: Alexander Vasilev vs Andrea Guerrieri Jun 10 $237 −$231 -97%
Ilkley: Henrique Rocha vs Charles Broom Jun 10 $86 −$84 -97%
Lyon: Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo vs Luca Van Assche Jun 10 $147 +$363 +246%
Stuttgart Open: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Alexander Bublik Jun 10 $120 −$120 -100%
Will CD Castellón win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $40 −$40 -99%
Cattolica: Pierluigi Basile vs Raul Brancaccio Jun 09 $8 +$2 +21%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 09 $28 +$32 +114%
Will Mirra Andreeva win the 2026 Women’s French Open? Jun 07 $33 +$7 +22%
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Alexander Zverev Jun 06 $20 +$6 +29%
Roland Garros WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Mirra Andreeva Jun 04 $223 −$223 -100%
Prostejov: Alex Molcan vs Milos Karol Jun 04 $874 −$874 -100%
Heilbronn: Diego Dedura-Palomero vs Joao Lucas Da Silva Jun 04 $1,017 −$1,001 -98%
Heilbronn: Jan Choinski vs Luka Mikrut Jun 04 $736 −$721 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 85% −$13,285
other 11% −$10,743
crypto 4% −$6,174
world 0% +$48
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? BUY Yes 76¢ $17 49m
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? BUY Yes 76¢ $11 49m
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? BUY Yes 76¢ $13 49m
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? BUY Yes 76¢ $89 49m
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? BUY Yes 76¢ $22 49m
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? BUY Yes 76¢ $15 49m
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? BUY Yes 76¢ $15 49m
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? BUY Yes 76¢ $15 49m
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? BUY Yes 76¢ $38 49m
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? BUY Yes 76¢ $76 49m
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? BUY Yes 76¢ $27 49m
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? BUY Yes 76¢ $20 49m
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? BUY Yes 76¢ $38 49m
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? BUY Yes 76¢ $74 49m
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? BUY Yes 76¢ $131 49m
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? BUY Yes 76¢ $76 49m
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? BUY Yes 76¢ $5 57m
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? BUY Yes 76¢ $16 59m
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? BUY Yes 76¢ $5 59m
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? BUY Yes 76¢ $8 1h
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? BUY Yes 76¢ $1 1h
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? BUY Yes 76¢ $4 1h
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? BUY Yes 76¢ $6 1h
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? BUY Yes 76¢ $53 1h
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? BUY Yes 76¢ $3 1h
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? BUY Yes 76¢ $8 1h
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? BUY Yes 76¢ $38 1h
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? BUY Yes 76¢ $32 1h
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? BUY Yes 76¢ $15 1h
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? BUY Yes 76¢ $15 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +35%
net ROI/market (all)-24.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 45 -19.0% -26.7% 33% 33% -32.3%
≤30d 161 -16.7% -24.6% 34% 34% -22.0%
≤90d 222 -16.0% -24.0% 35% 35% -17.6%
all 222 -16.0% -24.0% 35% 35% -17.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover75.2 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -24.0% 35% -17.6%
10% -31.3% 34% -25.5%
15% ← realistic here -37.9% 32% -32.7%
20% -44.0% 26% -39.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $807.67 · official $807.67 (match) · 2823 history records