Wallet analysis

2026-06-21T09:00:33+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
EA 0xeaed…67b8 crypto 996 markets active 0h ago coverage 27d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 27d only
✗ bot/MM pace (99 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL +$183 (+7%) realized +$183 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -17% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -36% what you keep after slip
Net edge-36%after slip
Net WR22%break-even
Win rate23%226W / 770L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$3per market
Trades / day99.2pace
Kalshi-fit97%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$12
7 days+$12
14 days+$12
30 days−$201
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 88% −$132
weather 11% −$51
other 1% −$18
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (99 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +22%
net ROI/market (all)-24.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 68 -7.4% -16.2% 4% 4% -17.8%
≤30d 996 -17.0% -24.9% 23% 22% -17.7%
≤90d 996 -17.0% -24.9% 23% 22% -17.7%
all 996 -17.0% -24.9% 23% 22% -17.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover99.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -24.9% 22% -17.7%
10% ← realistic here -32.1% 20% -25.5%
15% -38.6% 19% -32.7%
20% -44.6% 16% -39.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 5% · top 2 8% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -8% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
4% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -17% · $-wt -8% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -6% → late -28% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
2.3 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$5 vs −$2 · ×2.92 wins bigger than losses
Profit factor
×0.86 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

27d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$183
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)23%
Wins / losses226 / 770
Open positions0
Markets (closed)996 / 996
History coverage27d ⚠
Avg bet$3
Trades / day99.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit97%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 996 Trades
no open positions (1 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 21, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 21 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 21, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 21 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 21, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 21 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 21 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 21, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 21 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 21, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 21 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 21, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 21 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 21 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 21, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 21 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 21, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 21 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 21, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 21 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 21, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 21 $1 +$29 +2388%
XRP Up or Down - June 21, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 21 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 21, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 21 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 21 $1 +$38 +2988%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 21, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 21 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 21, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 21 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 21, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 21 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 21 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 21, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 21 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 21 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 21, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 21 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 21, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 21 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 21, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 21 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 21 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 21, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 21 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 21, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 21 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 21 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 21 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 21, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 21 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 21 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 21, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 21 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 21, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 21 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 21 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 21, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 21 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 21 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 21 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 21, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 21 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 21, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 21 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 21, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 21 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 20, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 21 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 21 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 20, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 21 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 21 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 20, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 21 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 21 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 20 $1 +$29 +2232%
XRP Up or Down - June 20, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 20 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 20, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 20 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 20 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 21, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Up 4¢ $1 10m
XRP Up or Down - June 21, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 4¢ $0 20m
XRP Up or Down - June 21, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 4¢ $1 20m
Solana Up or Down - June 21, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 4¢ $1 21m
Solana Up or Down - June 21, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 4¢ $1 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 3¢ $1 31m
XRP Up or Down - June 21, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 2¢ $0 31m
XRP Up or Down - June 21, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 2¢ $0 31m
XRP Up or Down - June 21, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 2¢ $1 31m
XRP Up or Down - June 21, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 2¢ $0 31m
XRP Up or Down - June 21, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 2¢ $0 31m
XRP Up or Down - June 21, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 2¢ $0 31m
XRP Up or Down - June 21, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 2¢ $0 31m
XRP Up or Down - June 21, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 2¢ $0 31m
XRP Up or Down - June 21, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 2¢ $0 31m
XRP Up or Down - June 21, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Up 4¢ $1 36m
XRP Up or Down - June 21, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Up 4¢ $1 40m
XRP Up or Down - June 21, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Up 4¢ $0 41m
XRP Up or Down - June 21, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Up 4¢ $0 41m
XRP Up or Down - June 21, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Up 4¢ $0 41m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 21, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 4¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 21, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 4¢ $0 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 21, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Down 4¢ $0 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 21, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Down 4¢ $0 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 21, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Down 4¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 21, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Down 4¢ $0 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 21, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Down 4¢ $0 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 21, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Down 4¢ $0 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 21, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Down 4¢ $0 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 21, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Down 4¢ $0 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records