Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T12:49:57+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
EA 0xeaec…c07f crypto 738 markets active 5d ago coverage 69d ⚠
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 68d only
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died! high turnover
Total PnL −$8,224 (-19%) realized −$8,224 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -17% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -36% what you keep after slip
Net edge-36%after slip
Net WR45%break-even
Win rate50%368W / 370L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$59per market
Trades / day42.9pace
Fees−$29est.
Kalshi-fit99%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days−$2,940
14 days−$2,804
30 days−$1,677
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 95% −$5,293
sports 4% −$397
other 0% +$33
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +45%
net ROI/market (all)-25.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 94 -67.4% -70.5% 19% 14% -55.8%
≤30d 142 -29.9% -36.5% 44% 39% -27.2%
≤90d 738 -17.1% -25.0% 50% 45% -21.3%
all 738 -17.1% -25.0% 50% 45% -21.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover42.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -25.0% 45% -21.3%
10% ← realistic here -32.2% 38% -28.8%
15% -38.7% 26% -35.7%
20% -44.7% 17% -42.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 2% · top 2 4% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -13% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
10% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -17% · $-wt -13% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -12% → late -22% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
2.6 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$26 vs −$41 · ×0.63 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.63 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

69d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$8,224
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses368 / 370
Est. fees paid−$29
Open positions0
Markets (closed)738 / 738
History coverage69d ⚠
Avg bet$59
Trades / day42.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 738 Trades
no open positions (1 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
UFC Fight Night: Loma Lookboonmee vs. Jaqueline Amorim (Women's Straww Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Melquizael Costa win by KO or TKO? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 12 $53 −$32 -61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 3 Winner Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 12 $13 −$7 -52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 12 $18 −$18 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 12 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 12 $64 −$15 -23%
Call of Duty: Toronto KOI vs Cloud9 New York - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 12 $31 −$31 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 12 $23 −$23 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 12 $36 −$20 -55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 12 $29 −$29 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 12 $31 −$31 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 12 $26 −$26 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 12 $39 −$39 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 12 $33 −$33 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 12 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 12 $29 −$29 -100%
Call of Duty: Miami Heretics vs Vancouver Surge - Game 3 Winner Jun 12 $49 −$49 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $22 −$22 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 12 $63 −$30 -47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 12 $41 −$41 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 12 $23 −$23 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 12 $39 −$39 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 12 $29 −$29 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 12 $34 −$34 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 12 $21 −$21 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $30 −$30 -100%
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5 Jun 12 $27 −$27 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 12 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 12 $118 −$49 -41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 12 $47 −$47 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $52 −$52 -100%
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $81 −$81 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Up 11¢ $5 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Up 30¢ $5 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $18 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET SELL Up 36¢ $13 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Up 25¢ $10 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Down 38¢ $6 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $3 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Down 67¢ $5 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET SELL Up 41¢ $8 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Up 31¢ $6 5d
Counter-Strike: Detonate vs Iowa Stormboar - Map 2 Winner BUY Detonate 55¢ $6 5d
Counter-Strike: Detonate vs Iowa Stormboar - Map 2 Winner BUY Detonate 55¢ $6 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $9 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $13 5d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $34 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET SELL Down 52¢ $34 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $30 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Up 24¢ $9 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Up 28¢ $13 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $52 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET SELL Down 64¢ $99 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $4 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $17 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $14 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $23 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $4 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $5 6d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records