Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T06:00:59+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

EA
0xeae0…c154
crypto · 204 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$8 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$4 · open +$3
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$140
Realized+$4
Unrealized+$3
Win rate (resolved)97%
Wins / losses192 / 5
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions7
Markets (closed)197 / 204
History coverage7d
Avg bet$15
Trades / day30.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 7 History 197 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$28
7 days+$4
14 days+$4
30 days+$4
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 4–8%? No 93¢ 100¢ $20 $21 +$1 (+7%)
Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 4–8%? No 96¢ 100¢ $19 $20 +$1 (+4%)
Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 8–12%? No 99¢ 100¢ $20 $20 +$0 (+1%)
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 12%+? No 98¢ 100¢ $20 $20 +$0 (+1%)
Will Civil Contract win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election? Yes 97¢ 100¢ $19 $20 +$1 (+3%)
Will turnout in the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election be greater than 85%? No 98¢ 98¢ $20 $20 −$0 (-0%)
Will turnout in the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election be less than 70%? No 98¢ 98¢ $20 $20 −$0 (-0%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Up 96¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Up 93¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Up 98¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Up 87¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 13 $15 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 13 $15 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 13 $15 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 13 $15 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 13 $15 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $14 +$1 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 12 $14 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 12 $14 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $14 +$1 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $14 +$1 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $14 +$1 +5%
Will the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on June 12? Jun 12 $15 $0 +2%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on June 12? Jun 12 $15 +$1 +10%
Will the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on June 12? Jun 12 $15 $0 +3%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on June 12? Jun 12 $15 +$1 +10%
Will the price of Solana be above $70 on June 12? Jun 12 $20 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $14 −$14 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $14 +$1 +7%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +3%
Will Ethereum reach $1,700 on June 11? Jun 12 $15 $0 +1%
Will Bitcoin reach $64,000 on June 11? Jun 12 $15 +$1 +7%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 87% +$19
finance 5% −$17
politics 5% +$3
other 2% +$1
sports 1% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $15 49m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $15 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $15 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $15 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $15 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $14 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $15 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $15 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $15 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $14 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $14 8h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $14 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $14 9h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $15 9h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $14 10h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $15 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $14 14h
Will the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on June 12? BUY Yes 98¢ $15 14h
Will the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on June 12? BUY No 97¢ $15 14h
Will the price of Solana be above $70 on June 12? BUY No 98¢ $20 14h
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on June 12? BUY Yes 91¢ $15 14h
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on June 12? BUY No 91¢ $15 14h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 17h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $15 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $15 18h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $15 18h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $15 18h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $15 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $14 19h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-9.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 197 +0.5% -9.1% 97% 0% -9.4%
≤30d 197 +0.5% -9.1% 97% 0% -9.4%
≤90d 197 +0.5% -9.1% 97% 0% -9.4%
all 197 +0.5% -9.1% 97% 0% -9.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover30.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.1% 0% -9.4%
10% ← realistic here -17.8% 0% -18.1%
15% -25.7% 0% -26.0%
20% -33.0% 0% -33.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $140.26 · official $140.26 (match) · 403 history records