Wallet analysis

2026-06-18T01:53:55+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
EA 0xead5…4bfd crypto 492 markets active 1h ago coverage 12d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (63 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL +$1,254 (+3%) realized +$1,254 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +1% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -22% what you keep after slip
Net edge-22%after slip
Net WR8%break-even
Win rate94%463W / 29L
Drawdown43%max
Avg bet$87per market
Trades / day62.9pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$111
7 days+$742
14 days+$1,116
30 days+$1,116
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$1,116
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (63 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +8%
net ROI/market (all)-8.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 153 +3.5% -6.3% 97% 6% -5.8%
≤30d 492 +0.8% -8.8% 94% 8% -7.2%
≤90d 492 +0.8% -8.8% 94% 8% -7.2%
all 492 +0.8% -8.8% 94% 8% -7.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover62.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -8.8% 8% -7.2%
10% ← realistic here -17.5% 0% -16.0%
15% -25.5% 0% -24.2%
20% -32.8% 0% -31.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 1% · top 2 2% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +3% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
81% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +1% · $-wt +3% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -1% → late +3% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.5 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$6 vs −$57 · ×0.11 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.68 per $1 lost it wins $1.68
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

12d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$1,254
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)94%
Wins / losses463 / 29
Open positions0
Markets (closed)492 / 492
History coverage12d
Avg bet$87
Trades / day62.9
Drawdown43%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 492 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 18 $129 +$9 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 18 $42 +$3 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 17 $200 +$6 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 17 $23 +$2 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 17 $111 +$5 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 17 $200 +$6 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 17 $116 +$3 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 17 $178 +$7 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 17 $201 +$7 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 17 $17 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 17 $11 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 17 $201 +$21 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 17 $201 +$21 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 17 $61 +$2 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 17 $38 +$3 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 17 $188 +$13 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 17 $201 +$12 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 17 $84 +$4 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 17 $86 +$2 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 17 $155 +$15 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 17 $136 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 17 $7 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 17 $96 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 16 $73 +$2 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 16 $108 +$9 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 16 $25 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 16 $201 +$3 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 16 $21 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 16 $113 −$113 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 16 $82 +$4 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 16 $106 +$10 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 16 $201 +$8 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 16 $143 +$4 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 16 $200 +$15 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 16 $201 +$3 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 16 $200 +$6 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 16 $89 +$3 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 16 $150 +$7 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 16 $77 +$4 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 16 $201 +$8 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 15 $201 +$21 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 15 $53 +$3 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 15 $74 +$5 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 15 $126 +$7 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 15 $79 +$7 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 15 $14 +$2 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 15 $88 +$8 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 15 $187 +$15 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 15 $87 +$3 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 15 $173 +$16 +9%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $16 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $113 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $23 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $14 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $200 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $23 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $111 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $200 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $116 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $178 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $36 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $44 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $41 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $31 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $39 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $10 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $17 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $11 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $158 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $43 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $201 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $61 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $38 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $57 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $131 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $201 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $84 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $155 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $86 24h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1221 history records