Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T11:38:29+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
EA 0xeac7…953d crypto 1771 markets active 0h ago coverage 26d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 25d onlyP/L from Polymarket (history capped)
✗ bot/MM pace (69 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ on-chain reconstruction ≠ official P&L (longshot/capped history)✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL +$76 (+0%) realized +$76 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -7% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -28% what you keep after slip
Net edge-28%after slip
Net WR0%break-even
Win rate91%1724W / 176L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$85per market
Trades / day68.7pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 26d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$272
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (69 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-15.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 541 -23.7% -31.0% 74% 0% -15.0%
≤30d 1900 -6.7% -15.6% 91% 0% -11.0%
≤90d 1900 -6.7% -15.6% 91% 0% -11.0%
all 1900 -6.7% -15.6% 91% 0% -11.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover68.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -15.6% 0% -11.0%
10% ← realistic here -23.7% 0% -19.5%
15% -31.0% 0% -27.3%
20% -37.8% 0% -34.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 0% · top 2 1% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -2% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
100% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -7% · $-wt -2% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +0% → late -13% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$2 vs −$38 · ×0.06 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.62 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

26d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$76
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)91%
Wins / losses1724 / 176
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1900 / 1771
History coverage26d ⚠
Avg bet$85
Trades / day68.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1900 Trades
no open positions (176 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 17 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 17 $100 −$100 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 17 $100 −$100 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 17 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 17 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 17 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 17 $100 −$100 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 17 $100 −$100 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 17 $100 −$100 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $100 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $100 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $100 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $100 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $100 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $100 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $100 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $100 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $100 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $100 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $100 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $100 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $100 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $100 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $100 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $100 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $100 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $100 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $100 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $100 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $100 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $100 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $100 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $100 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $100 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $100 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $100 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $100 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $100 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $100 17h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records