Wallet analysis

2026-06-26T20:14:11+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

2.0
score
EA 0xeab7…b389 crypto 2556 markets active 0h ago coverage 1d ⚠
BOTnot copyable Fresh edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 1d onlyP/L from Polymarket (history capped)
✗ bot/MM pace (3496 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ on-chain reconstruction ≠ official P&L (longshot/capped history)✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable
Total PnL +$5,688 (+14818%) realized +$4,869 · open +$819
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +940% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt +701% what you keep after slip
Net edge+701%after slip
Net WR49%break-even
Win rate49%28W / 29L
Drawdown0%max
Avg bet$0per market
Trades / day3496.0pace
Fees−$0est.
Kalshi-fit84%portable
Net worth$874now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
other 41% +$791
crypto 23% +$17
sports 17% +$32
weather 14% +$1
tech 4% $0
finance 1% +$4
world 1% +$2
politics 0% $0
culture 0% $0
economics 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (3496 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +49%
net ROI/market (all)+840.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 57 +940.0% +840.9% 49% 49% +296.8%
≤30d 57 +940.0% +840.9% 49% 49% +296.8%
≤90d 57 +940.0% +840.9% 49% 49% +296.8%
all 57 +940.0% +840.9% 49% 49% +296.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover3496.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +840.9% 49% +296.8%
10% ← realistic here +750.9% 49% +258.8%
15% +668.7% 49% +224.2%
20% +593.3% 49% +192.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 21% · top 2 32% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +12720% fresh edge ✓
Fragile wins
0% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +940% · $-wt +12720% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +266% → late +1590% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
1.4 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$3 vs −$0 · ×425.78 wins bigger than losses
Profit factor
×627.46 per $1 lost it wins $627.46
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$874
Realized+$4,869
Unrealized+$819
Win rate (resolved)49%
Wins / losses28 / 29
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions476
Markets (closed)57 / 2556
History coverage1d ⚠
Avg bet$0
Trades / day3496.0
Drawdown0%
Kalshi-fit84%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 476 History 57 Trades
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Tunisia concede the most goals in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage? Yes 0¢ 79¢ $0 $39 +$39 (+78550%)
Will South Korea be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup? Yes 0¢ 66¢ $0 $33 +$33 (+65700%)
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 8.5 Over 0¢ 59¢ $0 $30 +$29 (+58900%)
Map 1: Odd/Even Total Rounds? Odd 0¢ 50¢ $0 $25 +$25 (+49900%)
Counter-Strike: Nerve of Cow vs BRAWLSTARS (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season Nerve of Cow 0¢ 50¢ $0 $25 +$25 (+49900%)
Will Autodesk Q1 billings be above $2.0B? Yes 0¢ 50¢ $0 $25 +$25 (+49900%)
Will Dexter Lawrence play for the Seattle Seahawks in Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season? Yes 0¢ 47¢ $0 $23 +$23 (+46800%)
T20 Series Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka: Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka Sri Lanka 0¢ 45¢ $0 $23 +$23 (+45050%)
Counter-Strike: BRAWLSTARS vs Clutchain Female (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season Clutchain Female 0¢ 50¢ $0 $22 +$22 (+49900%)
Will Fredrikstad win Norway Eliteserien? Yes 0¢ 40¢ $0 $20 +$20 (+39450%)
KBO: KT Wiz vs. Samsung Lions Samsung Lions 0¢ 39¢ $0 $20 +$19 (+38950%)
Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on March 26? Up 0¢ 36¢ $0 $18 +$18 (+36400%)
Will Sandefjord win Norway Eliteserien? Yes 0¢ 34¢ $0 $17 +$17 (+33750%)
Will Platense win Copa Libertadores? Yes 0¢ 33¢ $0 $16 +$16 (+32800%)
Will the next governing coalition of Romania include PSD + PNL + USR + UDMR + AUR? Yes 0¢ 32¢ $0 $16 +$16 (+32150%)
Will annual inflation be 3.7% in June? Yes 0¢ 31¢ $0 $16 +$16 (+31150%)
Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $335 Week of June 22 2026? Yes 0¢ 100¢ $0 $15 +$15 (+99850%)
Will Chennaiyin FC vs. Punjab FC end in a draw? No 0¢ 50¢ $0 $15 +$15 (+49850%)
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $330 end of June? No 0¢ 27¢ $0 $13 +$13 (+26450%)
Counter-Strike: Alzon vs paiN Academy - Map 1 Winner Alzon 0¢ 26¢ $0 $13 +$13 (+25400%)
Counter-Strike: Alzon vs paiN Academy - Map 2 Winner paiN Academy 0¢ 25¢ $0 $13 +$12 (+24950%)
Will Athletic win Brazil Série B? Yes 0¢ 46¢ $0 $12 +$12 (+46400%)
Will Club The Strongest win on 2026-05-22? Yes 0¢ 24¢ $0 $12 +$12 (+24100%)
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes 0¢ 79¢ $0 $12 +$12 (+78949%)
Will FC Universitario win on 2026-05-23? Yes 0¢ 22¢ $0 $11 +$11 (+22250%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%). Plus 8 resolved losing bets — already counted in realized PnL, so not shown here.
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
SC União Torreense vs. AD Fafe: Both Teams to Score Jun 26 $0 +$3 +100503%
Map 1: Odd/Even Total Rounds? Jun 26 $0 +$3 +49982%
Bennani vs. Jubb: Match O/U 22.5 Jun 26 $0 +$3 +49900%
Will COD Meknès win on 2026-05-10? Jun 26 $0 +$3 +99900%
HYPE Up or Down on May 19? Jun 26 $0 +$3 +100281%
First Blood in Game 2? Jun 26 $0 +$5 +202496%
Visker vs. Mmoh: Match O/U 22.5 Jun 26 $0 +$2 +49900%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1? Jun 26 $0 +$2 +101200%
Will the fight be won by KO or TKO? Jun 26 $0 +$2 +101032%
Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 32°C on May 6? Jun 26 $0 +$2 +104181%
Dota 2: GLYPH vs D family - Game 2 Winner Jun 26 $0 +$2 +49945%
Total Kills Over/Under 40.5 in Game 1? Jun 26 $0 +$2 +103105%
Spread: Miami Marlins (-3.5) Jun 26 $0 +$1 +99964%
KBO: Doosan Bears vs. Samsung Lions Jun 26 $0 +$1 +51657%
Spread: Coritiba FBC (-2.5) Jun 26 $0 +$1 +99980%
Total Kills Over/Under 52.5 in Game 1? Jun 26 $0 +$1 +99980%
South Alabama Jaguars vs. Marshall Thundering Herd Jun 26 $0 +$1 +102111%
Will "Anthropic" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast Jun 26 $0 +$1 +117680%
Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5) Jun 26 $0 $0 +119875%
Spread: Albirex Niigata (-1.5) Jun 26 $0 +$3 +956500%
Solana Up or Down - May 20, 6AM ET Jun 26 $0 $0 +350%
Will ChatGPT be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 15? Jun 26 $0 $0 +99900%
ITF Samobor: Andrej Nedic vs Jakub Vrba Jun 26 $0 $0 +188800%
Map 1: Odd/Even Total Rounds? Jun 26 $0 $0 +187800%
Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $4.00-$5.00 on the final day of trading Jun 26 $0 $0 -67%
Will Apple (AAPL) close at $285-$290 on the final day of trading of th Jun 26 $0 $0 -81%
Will Apple (AAPL) close at <$275 on the final day of trading of the we Jun 26 $0 $0 +0%
Will Amazon (AMZN) finish week of June 22 above $220? Jun 26 $0 $0 +0%
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $225-$230 on the final day of trading of t Jun 26 $0 $0 -84%
Will Meta (META) close above $560 on June 26? Jun 26 $0 $0 -68%
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of June 22 above $180? Jun 26 $0 $0 -99%
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on June 26? Jun 26 $0 $0 -4%
Will Apple (AAPL) close at $305-$310 on the final day of trading of th Jun 26 $0 $0 +0%
Will Meta (META) close above $570 on June 26? Jun 26 $0 $0 -68%
Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $112 Week of June 22 2026? Jun 26 $0 $0 -4%
Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $380 Week of June 22 2026? Jun 26 $0 $0 -4%
Will Apple (AAPL) close at $290-$295 on the final day of trading of th Jun 26 $0 $0 -81%
Will Apple (AAPL) finish week of June 22 above $305? Jun 26 $0 $0 -2%
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $520 Week of June 22 2026? Jun 26 $0 $0 -4%
Will Apple (AAPL) close at $300-$305 on the final day of trading of th Jun 26 $0 $0 +0%
Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $222 Week of June 22 2026? Jun 26 $0 $0 -4%
Will Amazon (AMZN) close at $255-$260 on the final day of trading of t Jun 26 $0 $0 +0%
Will the announcers say "Golden Boot" during the Norway vs France FIFA Jun 26 $0 $0 -4%
Set 1 Winner: Tian vs Hesse Jun 26 $0 +$4 +20969%
Will Trump say "Hottest" during Faith & Freedom Coalition Conference? Jun 26 $0 $0 +0%
Will Claude by Anthropic be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on J Jun 26 $0 $0 -93%
Will Peacock TV: Stream TV & Movies be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Jun 26 $0 $0 -94%
Set 2 Winner: Bennani vs Nikles Jun 26 $0 +$2 +99900%
Will Shohei Ohtani be named to the NL All-Star Team at the 2026 MLB Al Jun 26 $0 $0 -3%
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on June 26? Jun 26 $0 $0 +0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 Week of June 22 2026? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 0m
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on June 26? BUY Down 0¢ $0 1m
Vedder vs. Shi: Match O/U 21.5 BUY Under 0¢ $0 1m
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of June 22 above $210? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 3m
Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of June 22 above $375? BUY No 0¢ $0 3m
Will Meta (META) finish week of June 22 above $540? BUY No 0¢ $0 3m
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $65 on June 26? BUY No 0¢ $0 4m
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 55°F or below on June BUY Yes 0¢ $0 6m
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on Ju BUY Yes 0¢ $0 6m
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on June 26? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 6m
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 32°C or higher on June 27? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 6m
Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of June 22 above $340? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 6m
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 26? BUY Up 0¢ $0 7m
Will Palantir (PLTR) close at $130-$132 on the final day of trading of BUY Yes 0¢ $0 8m
Will Palantir (PLTR) close at $130-$132 on the final day of trading of BUY Yes 0¢ $0 8m
Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $226 Week of June 22 2026? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 8m
Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $224 Week of June 22 2026? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 8m
Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $152 Week of June 22 2026? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 8m
Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $150 Week of June 22 2026? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 8m
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of June 22 above $210? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 9m
Norway vs. France: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total Corners BUY Over 0¢ $0 9m
BNB Up or Down - June 26, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Down 0¢ $0 9m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Down 0¢ $0 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Down 0¢ $0 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Down 0¢ $0 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Down 0¢ $0 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Down 0¢ $0 9m
Norway vs. France: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total Corners BUY Over 0¢ $0 9m
Will Meta (META) finish week of June 22 above $540? BUY No 0¢ $0 9m
Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of June 22 above $340? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 9m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $873.81 · official $937.90 · 3500 history records