Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T22:33:53+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

EA
0xeaad…4cac
crypto · 225 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$114 -28%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$114 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$114
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)27%
Wins / losses60 / 165
Open positions0
Markets (closed)225 / 225
History coverage138d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day3.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 0 History 225 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$0
7 days−$50
14 days−$50
30 days−$94
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Down 11¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Down 37¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Down 35¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Up 10¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Up 25¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Up 21¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Down 29¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Down 3¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Down 33¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Up 25¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
US government shutdown Saturday? No 25¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Up 16¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Up 10¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Up 10¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Up 13¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Up 22¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Down 23¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Down 31¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Up 27¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Up 10¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Down 26¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 09 $3 −$2 -73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 09 $3 −$1 -46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 09 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 09 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 09 $2 −$1 -48%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 09 $2 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 09 $1 $0 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -96%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 09 $3 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 09 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 09 $2 +$1 +31%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -94%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 09 $0 $0 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 09 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 09 $3 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 09 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 09 $2 −$1 -47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 09 $3 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 09 $3 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 09 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 09 $3 −$2 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 09 $5 +$6 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 09 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 09 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 09 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 09 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 09 $2 −$1 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 09 $3 −$1 -39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 09 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 09 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 09 $3 +$2 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 09 $3 +$2 +67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 09 $3 +$2 +67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 09 $1 +$2 +149%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 97% −$107
other 2% −$5
sports 0% −$2
politics 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET SELL Down 33¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Down 28¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET SELL Down 19¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Down 26¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Down 10¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET SELL Down 12¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Down 34¢ $2 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 20¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET SELL Up 22¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET SELL Down 60¢ $3 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 21¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Down 22¢ $2 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 14¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 39¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET SELL Up 90¢ $3 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Down 25¢ $1 3d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Up 21¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 10¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Up 21¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 26¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Down 25¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET SELL Down 52¢ $2 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Down 23¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET SELL Up 29¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $1 3d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 29¢ $1 3d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +25%
net ROI/market (all)-44.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 62 -67.8% -70.8% 18% 15% -54.6%
≤30d 186 -45.4% -50.6% 24% 23% -39.5%
≤90d 218 -38.5% -44.4% 27% 26% -37.3%
all 225 -39.1% -44.9% 27% 25% -37.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3.1 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -44.9% 25% -37.8%
10% -50.2% 24% -43.7%
15% -55.0% 22% -49.2%
20% -59.4% 22% -54.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 480 history records