Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T18:33:20+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

EA
0xeaac…fd5d
other · 72 markets active 1h ago
4.5score
+$20 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$18 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$18
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)12%
Wins / losses9 / 63
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions0
Markets (closed)72 / 72
History coverage76d
Avg bet$189
Trades / day2.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit53%
Chart Positions 0 History 72 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$0
7 days+$0
14 days+$0
30 days+$11
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Nicolas Dupont-Aignan win the 2027 French presidential election? Jun 14 $46 $0 -0%
Will Solana dip to $60 in May? Jun 14 $54 $0 +0%
Will XRP reach $2.80 in May? Jun 14 $87 $0 +0%
Will Arvid Lindblad be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? May 27 $47 $0 -0%
Will Yoaz Hendel be the next Prime Minister of Israel? May 26 $71 $0 -0%
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on Ju May 22 $44 $0 -0%
New York Mets vs. Washington Nationals May 22 $11 +$10 +90%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me May 21 $237 $0 -0%
T20 World Cup Sub Regional Europe Qualifier A: Croatia vs Jersey May 21 $16 +$2 +12%
Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? May 20 $43 $0 -0%
Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 20 $33 $0 -0%
Will Leo Zacky win the California Governor Election in 2026? May 14 $200 $0 -0%
Will Michel Barnier win the 2027 French presidential election? May 14 $190 $0 -0%
Will Sergio Fajardo win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? May 05 $205 $0 -0%
Will Project Hail Mary be the top grossing movie of 2026? May 04 $197 $0 -0%
Will Croatia win Eurovision 2026? May 03 $188 $0 -0%
Will the Washington Nationals win the 2026 World Series? May 02 $192 $0 -0%
Will Germany win Eurovision 2026? May 02 $189 $0 -0%
Will Uzbekistan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 01 $207 $0 -0%
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in April? May 01 $12 $0 +0%
Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? May 01 $208 $0 -0%
Will Williams be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? Apr 27 $207 $0 -0%
Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026? Apr 20 $351 $0 -0%
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 3 Apr 19 $201 $0 -0%
Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2026? Apr 18 $420 $0 -0%
Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026? Apr 16 $188 $0 -0%
Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 16 $194 $0 -0%
Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair? Apr 16 $537 −$1 -0%
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 me Apr 16 $201 $0 -0%
Will South Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 15 $358 $0 -0%
Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026? Apr 15 $356 $0 -0%
Will Sergio Pérez be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Apr 15 $202 $0 -0%
Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Apr 14 $207 $0 -0%
Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals? Apr 14 $230 $0 -0%
Will Luxembourg win Eurovision 2026? Apr 14 $566 −$1 -0%
Will Alpine be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? Apr 13 $197 $0 -0%
Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 13 $201 $0 -0%
Will Haas be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? Apr 13 $200 $0 -0%
Will Portugal win Eurovision 2026? Apr 12 $626 −$1 -0%
Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 12 $190 $0 -0%
Will Haiti win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 11 $344 $0 -0%
Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Apr 11 $210 $0 -0%
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on Ap Apr 11 $195 $0 -0%
Will Racing Bulls be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? Apr 11 $213 $0 -0%
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on April Apr 10 $395 $0 -0%
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Apr 10 $194 $0 -0%
Will Kang Hoon-sik win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election Apr 10 $192 $0 -0%
Will Gabriel Bortoleto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Apr 09 $386 $0 -0%
Will Alexander Albon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Apr 09 $549 −$1 -0%
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-08? Apr 09 $6 +$10 +165%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 60% +$2
politics 14% −$2
economics 12% −$2
tech 6% −$1
sports 4% +$21
world 2% $0
culture 1% $0
crypto 1% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Nicolas Dupont-Aignan win the 2027 French presidential election? SELL No 99¢ $46 1h
Will Nicolas Dupont-Aignan win the 2027 French presidential election? BUY No 99¢ $46 3h
Will Solana dip to $60 in May? BUY No 100¢ $54 18d
Will Arvid Lindblad be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL No 100¢ $46 18d
Will Arvid Lindblad be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY No 100¢ $47 18d
Will Yoaz Hendel be the next Prime Minister of Israel? SELL No 100¢ $27 19d
Will Yoaz Hendel be the next Prime Minister of Israel? BUY No 100¢ $28 19d
Will Yoaz Hendel be the next Prime Minister of Israel? SELL No 100¢ $43 20d
Will Yoaz Hendel be the next Prime Minister of Israel? BUY No 100¢ $43 20d
Will XRP reach $2.80 in May? BUY No 100¢ $87 22d
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on Ju SELL No 100¢ $44 22d
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on Ju BUY No 100¢ $44 22d
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me SELL No 100¢ $32 24d
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me BUY No 100¢ $32 24d
New York Mets vs. Washington Nationals BUY New York Mets 52¢ $11 24d
Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? SELL No 100¢ $43 25d
Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? BUY No 100¢ $43 25d
T20 World Cup Sub Regional Europe Qualifier A: Croatia vs Jersey BUY Jersey 89¢ $2 25d
T20 World Cup Sub Regional Europe Qualifier A: Croatia vs Jersey BUY Jersey 89¢ $9 25d
T20 World Cup Sub Regional Europe Qualifier A: Croatia vs Jersey BUY Jersey 89¢ $5 25d
Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 99¢ $33 25d
Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 100¢ $33 25d
Will Leo Zacky win the California Governor Election in 2026? SELL No 100¢ $199 30d
Will Leo Zacky win the California Governor Election in 2026? BUY No 100¢ $200 30d
Will Michel Barnier win the 2027 French presidential election? SELL No 99¢ $189 31d
Will Michel Barnier win the 2027 French presidential election? BUY No 100¢ $190 31d
Will Sergio Fajardo win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? SELL No 100¢ $205 40d
Will Sergio Fajardo win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? BUY No 100¢ $205 40d
Will Project Hail Mary be the top grossing movie of 2026? SELL No 100¢ $197 41d
Will Project Hail Mary be the top grossing movie of 2026? BUY No 100¢ $197 41d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +8%
net ROI/market (all)-5.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 3 +0.0% -9.5% 67% 0% -9.5%
≤30d 11 +9.2% -1.2% 36% 18% -8.0%
≤90d 72 +4.6% -5.4% 12% 8% -9.4%
all 72 +4.6% -5.4% 12% 8% -9.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2.3 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -5.4% 8% -9.4%
10% -14.4% 7% -18.1%
15% -22.7% 7% -26.0%
20% -30.3% 7% -33.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 195 history records