Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T06:04:27+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

EA
0xeaa8…ea02
crypto · 365 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$145 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$183 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$183
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)53%
Wins / losses192 / 173
Open positions0
Markets (closed)365 / 365
History coverage34d
Avg bet$20
Trades / day22.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 365 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$304
7 days+$372
14 days+$372
30 days+$342
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Up 64¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Down 74¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Down 23¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Down 28¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Down 66¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Down 66¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Down 37¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Down 8¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Down 35¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Up 70¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Up 18¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 14 $26 +$24 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 14 $26 +$12 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 14 $26 +$36 +140%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 14 $26 +$36 +140%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 14 $26 +$24 +94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 14 $51 −$14 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 14 $26 −$25 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 14 $26 −$25 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 14 $26 −$3 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 14 $25 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 14 $26 −$25 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 14 $51 +$26 +51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 14 $52 +$43 +84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 14 $52 +$43 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 14 $26 +$11 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 14 $25 +$8 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 13 $31 +$21 +67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 13 $52 +$41 +80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 13 $26 −$8 -31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 13 $26 +$15 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 13 $26 +$21 +82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 12 $26 +$17 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 12 $51 +$26 +51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 12 $62 +$38 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 12 $51 −$50 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $26 −$23 -89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $51 +$37 +72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $26 −$25 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 12 $26 +$21 +80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 11 $26 +$10 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 11 $26 +$10 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 11 $26 +$21 +82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 11 $26 +$12 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 11 $26 +$14 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET May 24 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET May 24 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET May 24 $20 +$3 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET May 24 $15 −$15 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET May 22 $10 +$11 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET May 22 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET May 22 $23 −$22 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET May 22 $31 +$18 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET May 22 $26 −$25 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET May 22 $15 −$15 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET May 22 $26 −$23 -88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET May 22 $26 −$25 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET May 22 $10 −$5 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET May 22 $10 +$12 +117%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET May 22 $30 +$3 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET May 21 $21 +$14 +67%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$183
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $26 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $26 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $26 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $26 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $26 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET SELL Up 47¢ $38 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $26 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $26 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $26 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $26 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET SELL Down 58¢ $23 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $26 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET SELL Up 88¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET SELL Down 91¢ $78 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $26 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $5 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $26 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $26 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET SELL Up 36¢ $18 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $26 12h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +50%
net ROI/market (all)-16.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 34 +30.4% +17.9% 74% 71% +20.6%
≤30d 214 +0.1% -9.4% 56% 54% -1.8%
≤90d 365 -8.1% -16.8% 53% 50% -11.5%
all 365 -8.1% -16.8% 53% 50% -11.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover22.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -16.8% 50% -11.5%
10% ← realistic here -24.8% 47% -20.0%
15% -32.0% 39% -27.7%
20% -38.7% 30% -34.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1007 history records