Wallet analysis

2026-06-16T15:54:12+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
EA 0xeaa1…5e5f crypto 1357 markets active 0h ago coverage 30d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 29d only
✗ bot/MM pace (81 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL −$104 (-1%) realized −$104 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -1% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -24% what you keep after slip
Net edge-24%after slip
Net WR60%break-even
Win rate67%931W / 457L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$5per market
Trades / day80.7pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$13
7 days−$2
14 days+$26
30 days−$9
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$63
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (81 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +60%
net ROI/market (all)-10.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 726 -2.9% -12.1% 71% 64% -9.5%
≤30d 1388 -0.9% -10.3% 67% 60% -9.5%
≤90d 1388 -0.9% -10.3% 67% 60% -9.5%
all 1388 -0.9% -10.3% 67% 60% -9.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover80.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.3% 60% -9.5%
10% ← realistic here -18.9% 43% -18.1%
15% -26.7% 23% -26.0%
20% -33.9% 12% -33.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 1% · top 2 2% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
9% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -1% · $-wt -0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +1% → late -3% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.5 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$3 · ×0.49 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.99 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

30d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$104
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)67%
Wins / losses931 / 457
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1388 / 1357
History coverage30d ⚠
Avg bet$5
Trades / day80.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1388 Trades
no open positions (300 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 16 $2 −$3 -112%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 16 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -107%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 16 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 16 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 16 $0 −$1 -710%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 16 $0 $0 -386%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 16 $0 −$1 -864%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 16 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 16 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 16 $0 $0 -303%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 16 $0 $0 -200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 16 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 16 $0 $0 -486%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 16 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 16 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 16 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 16 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 16 $3 −$1 -38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 16 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 16 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 16 $0 $0 -261%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 16 $4 −$4 -108%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 16 $4 +$1 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 16 $4 +$1 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 16 $9 −$3 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 16 $9 −$3 -35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 16 $4 +$1 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 16 $8 −$2 -25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 16 $4 +$1 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 16 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 16 $4 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 16 $4 +$1 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 16 $4 −$1 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 16 $4 +$1 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 16 $4 +$1 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 16 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 16 $4 +$1 +34%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $4 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $5 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $4 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $5 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET SELL Down 13¢ $1 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $5 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $5 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $5 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET SELL Up 11¢ $1 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $4 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $4 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $5 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET SELL Up 15¢ $1 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $4 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $3 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET SELL Down 83¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 17¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET SELL Down 15¢ $1 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records