Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T16:28:12+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

EA
0xea9a…963f
sports · 113 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$20 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$37 · open +$17
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$78
Realized−$37
Unrealized+$17
Win rate (resolved)53%
Wins / losses59 / 52
Est. fees paid−$5
Open positions2
Markets (closed)111 / 113
History coverage122d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day1.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 2 History 111 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$53
7 days−$55
14 days−$46
30 days−$50
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner Vitality 76¢ 100¢ $50 $66 +$16 (+32%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Team Falcons 90¢ 100¢ $11 $12 +$1 (+11%)
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 TYLOO 31¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Legacy - Map 4 Winner Team Falcons 28¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs 9z (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage MOUZ 32¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
LoL: KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas vs Vivo Keyd Stars Academy - Game 1 Winner Vivo Keyd Stars Academy 34¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Legacy 51¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
LoL: Team WE vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 Winner Anyones Legend 71¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Ninjas in Pyjamas 22¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 G2 42¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 - Game 4 Winner Dplus KIA 77¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner EDward Gaming 17¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: B8 vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 GamerLegion 41¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Legacy 29¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Legacy - Map 3 Winner Team Falcons 21¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Astralis 52¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winner FURIA 39¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner FURIA 69¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner Spirit 31¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 paiN 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Team Falcons 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z - Map 2 Winner TYLOO 13¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Legacy (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group A Legacy 25¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
LoL: KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas vs Vivo Keyd Stars Academy - Game 2 Winner KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas 58¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Monte vs Legacy (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Legacy 45¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $48 −$48 -100%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $48 +$1 +2%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $1 +$2 +151%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 12 $3 +$1 +34%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $4 +$2 +41%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $7 −$7 -99%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $2 −$1 -98%
LoL: LOUD vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Quali Jun 12 $55 +$1 +2%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $11 −$5 -45%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $1 +$1 +145%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $30 +$7 +24%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $2 +$2 +109%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $6 −$6 -98%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 09 $1 −$1 -97%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $46 −$1 -2%
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 08 $10 +$4 +42%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Jun 08 $1 −$1 -98%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $3 −$3 -98%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 08 $2 +$2 +90%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 08 $2 +$3 +172%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $4 −$4 -99%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $3 −$3 -99%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $2 −$2 -98%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $2 −$2 -98%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs Legacy (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $1 −$1 -98%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 07 $3 +$3 +102%
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs FlyQuest (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $5 +$3 +62%
Counter-Strike: paiN vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $2 +$2 +93%
Counter-Strike: NRG vs BIG - Map 2 Winner Jun 05 $1 +$2 +194%
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs FlyQuest - Map 1 Winner Jun 05 $40 +$3 +6%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Sharks (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 04 $1 −$1 -98%
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 03 $44 +$1 +2%
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 03 $1 −$1 -98%
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 03 $1 −$1 -98%
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars Academy vs KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas (BO5) - Circuit Jun 02 $1 +$2 +188%
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars Academy vs KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas - Game 4 Winner Jun 02 $1 +$4 +413%
LoL: LOUD vs LOS - Game 3 Winner May 25 $3 −$3 -99%
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winner May 25 $2 $0 +22%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 - Game 4 Winner May 25 $13 −$3 -23%
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner May 24 $3 +$2 +50%
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 3 Winner May 24 $3 +$3 +93%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Legacy (BO5) - CS Asia Championships P May 24 $36 +$1 +2%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Legacy - Map 4 Winner May 24 $2 −$2 -98%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner May 24 $3 $0 +4%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Legacy - Map 3 Winner May 24 $4 −$2 -49%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner May 24 $2 −$2 -98%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs MOUZ (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Pla May 23 $3 +$2 +76%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% −$20
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner BUY Vitality 76¢ $50 1h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY Team Falcons 90¢ $11 2h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner BUY Spirit 31¢ $1 22h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Vitality 97¢ $48 23h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 18¢ $1 25h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner SELL Monte 100¢ $3 26h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Monte 98¢ $48 26h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY Monte 39¢ $1 27h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI SELL Hanwha Life Esports 100¢ $4 27h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL FURIA 100¢ $6 27h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FURIA 70¢ $4 29h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner BUY FURIA 71¢ $5 30h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY B8 40¢ $1 30h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Hanwha Life Esports 74¢ $3 30h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner BUY FURIA 65¢ $2 30h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner BUY MOUZ 36¢ $2 30h
LoL: LOUD vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Quali BUY LOS 98¢ $55 40h
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner SELL MOUZ 100¢ $10 2d
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner SELL FUT Esports 100¢ $2 2d
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag SELL Vitality 99¢ $37 2d
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Vitality 78¢ $20 2d
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner BUY Legacy 51¢ $5 2d
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner BUY MOUZ 63¢ $6 2d
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner BUY FUT Esports 40¢ $1 2d
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Vitality 83¢ $10 2d
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Legacy 41¢ $1 2d
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Legacy 45¢ $5 2d
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 47¢ $2 2d
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner BUY TYLOO 9¢ $1 4d
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 BUY paiN 1¢ $1 4d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +40%
net ROI/market (all)-9.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 31 -20.3% -27.9% 45% 39% -28.8%
≤30d 63 -12.1% -20.4% 49% 35% -18.4%
≤90d 107 -6.4% -15.3% 52% 39% -15.7%
all 111 -0.2% -9.7% 53% 40% -14.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1.5 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.7% 40% -14.3%
10% -18.3% 39% -22.5%
15% -26.2% 32% -30.0%
20% -33.4% 26% -36.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $77.97 · official $77.97 (match) · 233 history records