Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T10:58:11+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

EA
0xea8e…7de4
other · 8 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$11 -29%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$12 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY ⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$4
Realized−$12
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)0%
Wins / losses0 / 5
Open positions1
Markets (closed)5 / 8
History coverage1d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day14.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit0%
Chart Positions 1 History 5 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$12
7 days−$12
14 days−$12
30 days−$12
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? Yes 27¢ 26¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-2%)
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Yes 58¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? Jun 14 $2 $0 -4%
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 14 $5 −$1 -25%
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Jun 14 $5 −$5 -99%
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 2 Morocco? Jun 14 $5 −$5 -96%
Exact Score: Brazil 0 - 2 Morocco? Jun 13 $2 −$1 -31%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 100% −$12
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 27¢ $4 1h
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? SELL Yes 26¢ $2 1h
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? SELL Yes 60¢ $2 1h
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? BUY Yes 61¢ $2 3h
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 27¢ $2 3h
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 2¢ $4 3h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? AND Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY 37¢ $2 10h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 58¢ $5 10h
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 2 Morocco? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 10h
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 2 Morocco? BUY Yes 7¢ $5 15h
Exact Score: Brazil 0 - 2 Morocco? SELL Yes 2¢ $1 15h
Exact Score: Brazil 0 - 2 Morocco? BUY Yes 3¢ $2 16h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? AND Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? A BUY 32¢ $10 16h
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 2¢ $5 16h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-55.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 5 -51.1% -55.8% 0% 0% -65.2%
≤30d 5 -51.1% -55.8% 0% 0% -65.2%
≤90d 5 -51.1% -55.8% 0% 0% -65.2%
all 5 -51.1% -55.8% 0% 0% -65.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover14.0 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -55.8% 0% -65.2%
10% -60.0% 0% -68.5%
15% -63.9% 0% -71.6%
20% -67.4% 0% -74.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $3.78 · official $3.78 (match) · 14 history records