Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T14:34:59+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

EA
0xea8e…debb
sports · 11 markets active 0h ago
2.5score
+$43 +21%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$43 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✓ COPY-WORTHY sports specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$55
Realized+$43
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)67%
Wins / losses4 / 2
Est. fees paid−$3
Open positions5
Markets (closed)6 / 11
History coverage1d
Avg bet$19
Trades / day18.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit73%
Chart Positions 5 History 6 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$43
7 days+$43
14 days+$43
30 days+$43
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? Yes 48¢ 48¢ $30 $30 −$0 (-1%)
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Yes 18¢ 18¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-3%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Monte 22¢ 26¢ $5 $6 +$1 (+20%)
Will Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Yes 36¢ 36¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? Yes 26¢ 26¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-2%)
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Aurora Gaming 15¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $20 +$17 +86%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $6 +$4 +68%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $30 +$33 +109%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $10 −$10 -98%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 12 $40 −$35 -85%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $41 +$33 +80%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 63% +$11
other 22% +$33
crypto 15% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Aurora Gaming 100¢ $8 6m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Aurora Gaming 73¢ $15 1h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Aurora Gaming 73¢ $15 1h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Aurora Gaming 36¢ $5 2h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Aurora Gaming 43¢ $15 3h
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL B8 47¢ $10 4h
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? BUY Yes 26¢ $5 7h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 18¢ $10 7h
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 48¢ $30 7h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY Monte 22¢ $5 10h
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY B8 27¢ $6 10h
Will Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026? BUY Yes 36¢ $5 10h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 100¢ $64 10h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Aurora Gaming 15¢ $10 21h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major SELL Team Falcons 10¢ $6 21h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 47¢ $30 24h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Team Falcons 68¢ $40 24h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL FURIA 100¢ $18 26h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL MOUZ 46¢ $27 27h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FURIA 55¢ $10 27h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY MOUZ 17¢ $10 28h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL FURIA 83¢ $28 28h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FURIA 59¢ $20 29h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
worth copying (survives realistic slippage)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +67%
net ROI/market (all)+14.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 6 +26.3% +14.2% 67% 67% +16.8%
≤30d 6 +26.3% +14.2% 67% 67% +16.8%
≤90d 6 +26.3% +14.2% 67% 67% +16.8%
all 6 +26.3% +14.2% 67% 67% +16.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover18.7 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to10%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +14.2% 67% +16.8%
10% +3.3% 67% +5.6%
15% -6.7% 67% -4.6%
20% -15.8% 67% -14.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $55.27 · official $55.27 (match) · 23 history records