Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T04:53:22+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

EA
0xea8d…0cd2
crypto · 5 markets active 1h ago
2.0score
−$26 -45%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$29 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY crypto specialist⚠ Small sample
Net worth$0
Realized−$29
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)60%
Wins / losses3 / 2
Open positions0
Markets (closed)5 / 5
History coverage4d
Avg bet$12
Trades / day2.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 5 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$34
7 days−$29
14 days−$29
30 days−$29
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential elect Jun 14 $22 −$19 -90%
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? Jun 14 $21 −$15 -70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 10 $5 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 10 $5 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 10 $5 +$3 +68%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
politics 74% −$34
crypto 26% +$5
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +60%
net ROI/market (all)-21.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 5 -13.6% -21.9% 60% 60% -55.7%
≤30d 5 -13.6% -21.9% 60% 60% -55.7%
≤90d 5 -13.6% -21.9% 60% 60% -55.7%
all 5 -13.6% -21.9% 60% 60% -55.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2.3 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -21.9% 60% -55.7%
10% -29.3% 20% -60.0%
15% -36.2% 20% -63.8%
20% -42.4% 20% -67.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 10 history records