Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T16:10:51+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

EA
0xea86…6fb4
sports · 281 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$1,589 -16%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,560 · open −$29
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$6
Realized−$1,560
Unrealized−$29
Win rate (resolved)45%
Wins / losses126 / 152
Est. fees paid−$146
Open positions3
Markets (closed)278 / 281
History coverage159d
Avg bet$36
Trades / day3.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 3 History 278 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$165
7 days−$463
14 days−$463
30 days−$463
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Natus Vincere 75¢ 74¢ $6 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner Team Falcons 64¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-99%)
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 1 Winner Leviatán Esports 44¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Map Handicap: FS (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5) FULL SENSE 32¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: The Huns Esports vs Fisher College - Map 1 Winner Fisher College 35¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN - Map 1 Winner Astralis 49¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs B8 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 B8 39¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs Monte (+1.5) Monte 51¢ 0¢ $42 $0 −$42 (-100%)
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 3 Winner Dplus KIA 60¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Anyones Legend 35¢ 0¢ $83 $0 −$83 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Legacy 49¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 TheMongolz 50¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Valorant: FURIA Esports vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Omega FURIA Esports 54¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
LoL: Karmine Corp vs GIANTX - Game 2 Winner Karmine Corp 37¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs 9z (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage MOUZ 66¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Spirit (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage TheMongolz 26¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: paiN vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 paiN 54¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Legacy 40¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs 9z - Map 2 Winner 9z 27¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage Gentle Mates 42¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winner Karmine Corp 37¢ 0¢ $84 $0 −$84 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner Legacy 54¢ 0¢ $49 $0 −$49 (-100%)
LoL: FlyQuest vs Team Liquid (BO5) - LCS Playoffs FlyQuest 50¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs G2 - Map 2 Winner G2 43¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 Winner BNK FEARX 53¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Pla Jun 12 $22 −$17 -81%
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $10 −$9 -85%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $8 +$2 +20%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $10 +$12 +121%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $10 +$11 +105%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $10 +$8 +78%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $5 +$9 +174%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $6 +$4 +76%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $3 −$3 -98%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner Jun 12 $10 +$7 +68%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $25 −$15 -61%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner Jun 12 $9 +$2 +21%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $10 +$5 +50%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $19 −$19 -99%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 12 $20 −$1 -7%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $24 −$24 -100%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $17 +$7 +41%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $20 −$20 -98%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? AND Will Mexico win on 2026-06- Jun 12 $10 +$27 +265%
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Jun 12 $17 −$17 -98%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $20 +$9 +44%
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5) Jun 11 $11 +$18 +158%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $8 +$4 +42%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $19 +$10 +53%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $5 +$4 +74%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $12 +$7 +57%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $7 +$6 +84%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $10 −$10 -98%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $5 −$4 -71%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $10 −$10 -98%
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5) Jun 11 $10 +$12 +119%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $20 −$20 -98%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $10 +$10 +99%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S Jun 11 $10 −$10 -98%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $5 −$5 -98%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $22 −$16 -74%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $12 −$12 -96%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $12 +$10 +82%
Valorant: Global Esports vs XLG Gaming - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $11 +$13 +124%
Valorant: Global Esports vs XLG Gaming - Map 1 Winner Jun 10 $8 +$3 +34%
Will Hanwha Life Esports win the LCK 2026 season playoffs? Jun 10 $14 −$7 -46%
Valorant: FUT Esports vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stage Jun 10 $309 −$305 -99%
Valorant: FUT Esports vs NRG - Map 2 Winner Jun 10 $147 +$161 +109%
Valorant: FUT Esports vs NRG - Map 1 Winner Jun 10 $100 +$48 +48%
Valorant: Dragon Ranger Gaming vs XLG Gaming - Map 2 Winner Jun 09 $76 +$38 +50%
Valorant: Dragon Ranger Gaming vs XLG Gaming - Map 1 Winner Jun 09 $29 +$47 +165%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN - Map 2 Winner Jun 09 $67 −$66 -98%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN - Map 1 Winner Jun 09 $183 −$182 -99%
Valorant: NRG vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Sta Jun 08 $120 +$63 +52%
Valorant: NRG vs Leviatán Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 08 $57 +$64 +112%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 99% −$1,627
world 1% +$10
other 0% +$34
culture 0% −$6
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner BUY Natus Vincere 75¢ $6 37m
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Pla SELL Leviatán Esports 6¢ $4 39m
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 2 Winner SELL Leviatán Esports 6¢ $2 39m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner BUY Team Falcons 64¢ $9 44m
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner SELL Natus Vincere 100¢ $9 46m
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner BUY Natus Vincere 83¢ $8 1h
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 2 Winner BUY Leviatán Esports 39¢ $10 1h
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Pla BUY Leviatán Esports 17¢ $5 1h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL G2 99¢ $22 1h
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 1 Winner BUY Leviatán Esports 44¢ $20 2h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Monte 98¢ $21 2h
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Pla BUY Leviatán Esports 35¢ $16 2h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 44¢ $10 2h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner SELL FUT Esports 99¢ $18 2h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Monte 47¢ $10 2h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner SELL Monte 99¢ $14 2h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner BUY FUT Esports 55¢ $10 3h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner SELL G2 100¢ $10 3h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY Monte 35¢ $5 3h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner BUY G2 56¢ $6 3h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 1 Winner BUY Monte 16¢ $3 4h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner SELL Hanwha Life Esports 99¢ $18 4h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL MOUZ 4¢ $1 4h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 58¢ $10 4h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner SELL Hanwha Life Esports 99¢ $10 5h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY MOUZ 46¢ $5 5h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY MOUZ 46¢ $10 5h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL TheMongolz 100¢ $15 5h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 81¢ $9 5h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL FURIA 53¢ $9 5h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +44%
net ROI/market (all)-21.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 105 -4.9% -14.0% 51% 50% -20.7%
≤30d 105 -4.9% -14.0% 51% 50% -20.7%
≤90d 273 -13.7% -21.9% 45% 43% -23.3%
all 278 -13.2% -21.5% 45% 44% -23.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3.0 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -21.5% 44% -23.0%
10% -29.0% 41% -30.4%
15% -35.9% 36% -37.1%
20% -42.2% 26% -43.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $5.53 · official $15.74 · 509 history records