trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 16 | -37.8% | -43.7% | 25% | 25% | +2.2% |
| ≤30d | 18 | -35.8% | -41.9% | 22% | 22% | +1.5% |
| ≤90d | 18 | -35.8% | -41.9% | 22% | 22% | +1.5% |
| all | 18 | -35.8% | -41.9% | 22% | 22% | +1.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -41.9% | 22% | +1.5% |
| 10% | -47.4% | 22% | -8.2% |
| 15% | -52.5% | 22% | -17.1% |
| 20% | -57.2% | 22% | -25.2% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw? | Yes | 24¢ | 100¢ | $6 | $25 | +$19 (+316%) |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 16¢ | 15¢ | $15 | $14 | −$1 (-10%) |
| Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16? | Yes | 14¢ | 14¢ | $14 | $14 | −$0 (-4%) |
| Will Ousmane Dembele be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 3¢ | 2¢ | $6 | $6 | −$0 (-7%) |
| Will Bad Bunny have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month? | Yes | 1¢ | 0¢ | $1 | $0 | −$1 (-75%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 5.5 | Jun 16 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 3.5 | Jun 16 | $15 | −$15 | -100% |
| Exact Score: Any Other Score? | Jun 16 | $26 | −$26 | -100% |
| Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 0.5 | Jun 16 | $19 | +$45 | +236% |
| Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $41 | +$32 | +79% |
| Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 16 | $14 | −$14 | -100% |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 14? | Jun 15 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Ca | Jun 15 | $73 | +$96 | +130% |
| Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $8 | −$8 | -100% |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30? | Jun 12 | $6 | −$6 | -100% |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 15? | Jun 12 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 8? | Jun 12 | $239 | −$25 | -10% |
| Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 12 | $4 | −$4 | -100% |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12? | Jun 11 | $10 | +$6 | +60% |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 10? | Jun 11 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Will "Probably" be said during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the w | Jun 10 | $6 | −$6 | -100% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | Jun 08 | $3 | $0 | -5% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | Jun 08 | $6 | −$2 | -34% |