Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T04:55:19+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

EA
0xea7b…5b6d
sports · 622 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$80 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,148 · open −$2
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge
Net worth$15
Realized−$1,148
Unrealized−$2
Win rate (resolved)25%
Wins / losses152 / 465
Est. fees paid−$100
Open positions1
Markets (closed)617 / 622
History coverage217d
Avg bet$26
Trades / day5.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit73%
Chart Positions 1 History 617 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$5
7 days−$10
14 days−$10
30 days−$32
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Yes 25¢ 22¢ $17 $15 −$2 (-12%)
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs BNK FearX Youth (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2 BNK FearX Youth 13¢ $29 $0 −$29 (-100%)
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend Anyones Legend 30¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
LoL: BNK FearX Youth vs HANJIN BRION Challengers - Game 1 Winner BNK FearX Youth 10¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
LoL: Team WE vs LNG Esports - Game 1 Winner LNG Esports 24¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
LoL: Gen.G vs LYON (BO5) - First Stand Group B LYON $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-02-25? Yes 10¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
LoL: LYON vs JD Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Group B LYON $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winner Top Esports $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 Winner HANJIN BRION $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs T1 - Game 1 Winner Kiwoom DRX 19¢ $59 $0 −$59 (-100%)
LoL: Gen.G Global Academy vs Dplus KIA Challengers - Game 1 Winner Gen.G Global Academy 10¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
LoL: Team WE vs Ultra Prime (BO3) Ultra Prime $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 Winner Kiwoom DRX 18¢ $32 $0 −$32 (-100%)
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2025-12-20? Yes 18¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
LoL: JD Gaming vs LOUD - Game 1 Winner LOUD 11¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 BNK FEARX 29¢ $21 $0 −$21 (-100%)
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 Dplus KIA 19¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Will AFC Bournemouth vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw? Yes 21¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
LoL: BNK FEARX vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 DN SOOPers 18¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
LoL: Gen.G vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 Winner BNK FEARX 13¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs DRX Challengers (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Kickoff Playoffs DRX Challengers 33¢ $135 $0 −$135 (-100%)
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-02-12? Yes 19¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
LoL: FURIA Esports vs Sentinels - Game 3 Winner Sentinels 12¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Weibo Gaming 15¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Exact Score: Haiti 0 - 1 Scotland? Jun 14 $6 +$26 +442%
Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw? Jun 14 $6 $0 -5%
Exact Score: Haiti 0 - 3 Scotland? Jun 14 $10 −$10 -97%
Exact Score: Haiti 0 - 2 Scotland? Jun 14 $10 −$10 -98%
Exact Score: Haiti 0 - 0 Scotland? Jun 14 $5 −$5 -97%
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $10 −$10 -98%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $5 −$5 -98%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 13 $5 −$5 -97%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $13 +$14 +109%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $5 −$5 -98%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner May 22 $10 −$10 -98%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner May 22 $12 −$12 -98%
LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 May 02 $19 −$19 -98%
LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winner May 02 $17 −$17 -99%
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-04-19? Apr 19 $7 −$7 -97%
LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming - Game 1 Winner Apr 19 $1 +$6 +550%
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Apr 19 $70 −$68 -98%
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs T1 - Game 1 Winner Apr 19 $60 −$59 -98%
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming - Game 2 Winn Apr 19 $20 −$19 -97%
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 Apr 19 $60 −$59 -98%
LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming - Game 2 Winner Apr 19 $10 −$10 -97%
LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend Apr 19 $45 −$43 -97%
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 Apr 19 $70 −$69 -99%
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 2 Winner Apr 19 $35 −$34 -98%
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 1 Winner Apr 19 $30 −$29 -98%
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-18? Apr 19 $21 +$50 +238%
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-04-18? Apr 18 $23 −$23 -98%
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-04-18? Apr 18 $13 −$13 -98%
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend Apr 18 $40 +$15 +37%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner Apr 18 $74 −$40 -53%
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Apr 18 $20 −$20 -98%
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Oh My God (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana Apr 18 $54 +$99 +184%
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 Winner Apr 17 $33 +$20 +61%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Apr 17 $24 −$23 -98%
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Oh My God - Game 2 Winner Apr 17 $3 −$3 -97%
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Oh My God - Game 1 Winner Apr 17 $32 −$31 -98%
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 Apr 17 $53 −$52 -98%
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Apr 17 $40 +$14 +36%
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 Winner Apr 17 $32 −$32 -100%
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 Apr 16 $24 −$23 -97%
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winner Apr 16 $32 −$31 -98%
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 Apr 16 $10 −$10 -97%
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 Winner Apr 15 $4 +$8 +233%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winner Apr 15 $32 −$31 -98%
Counter-Strike: Lavked vs Phantom - Map 2 Winner Apr 15 $10 −$10 -97%
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 Apr 15 $21 −$21 -98%
LoL: Fluxo W7M vs LOUD (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season Apr 15 $26 +$108 +414%
LoL: BNK FearX Youth vs Dplus KIA Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers Apr 14 $28 −$27 -97%
LoL: Leviatan Esports vs RED Canids - Game 2 Winner Apr 14 $11 −$11 -98%
LoL: Leviatan Esports vs RED Canids (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season Apr 14 $11 −$11 -97%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 71% −$1,677
other 28% +$543
crypto 1% −$14
politics 0% −$1
economics 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 21¢ $5 3m
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 28¢ $12 26m
Exact Score: Haiti 0 - 1 Scotland? SELL Yes 100¢ $32 1h
Exact Score: Haiti 0 - 1 Scotland? BUY Yes 18¢ $6 3h
Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw? SELL Yes 19¢ $6 3h
Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw? BUY Yes 19¢ $6 3h
Exact Score: Haiti 0 - 3 Scotland? BUY Yes 10¢ $10 3h
Exact Score: Haiti 0 - 2 Scotland? BUY Yes 18¢ $10 3h
Exact Score: Haiti 0 - 0 Scotland? BUY Yes 11¢ $5 3h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 19¢ $5 5h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 17¢ $5 6h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? AND Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13 BUY 16¢ $6 13h
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? AND Will Switzerland win on 202 BUY 24¢ $5 13h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner BUY KT Rolster 21¢ $5 21h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY KT Rolster 12¢ $5 23h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 47¢ $13 30h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? AND Will United States vs. Paraguay end BUY 17¢ $6 38h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? AND Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY $5 2d
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 15¢ $5 2d
LoL: KT Rolster vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner BUY KT Rolster 24¢ $10 22d
LoL: KT Rolster vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner BUY KT Rolster $2 22d
LoL: KT Rolster vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner BUY KT Rolster 26¢ $10 22d
LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 BUY Dplus KIA 17¢ $19 42d
LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winner BUY Gen.G 21¢ $5 42d
LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winner BUY Gen.G 30¢ $9 42d
LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winner BUY Gen.G 30¢ $2 42d
LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winner BUY Gen.G 30¢ $1 42d
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-04-19? BUY Yes 11¢ $7 55d
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs T1 - Game 2 Winner BUY Kiwoom DRX 19¢ $70 55d
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs T1 - Game 1 Winner BUY Kiwoom DRX 10¢ $0 55d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +24%
net ROI/market (all)-18.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 10 -15.4% -23.4% 20% 20% -21.2%
≤30d 12 -29.5% -36.2% 17% 17% -39.1%
≤90d 201 -18.9% -26.6% 23% 23% -16.9%
all 617 -10.2% -18.7% 25% 24% -16.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover5.5 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -18.7% 24% -16.1%
10% -26.5% 24% -24.1%
15% -33.6% 23% -31.4%
20% -40.1% 22% -38.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $15.00 · official $15.00 (match) · 1369 history records