Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T03:36:31+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

EA
0xea7a…eab1
crypto · 1851 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$1,656 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,656 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$1,656
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses906 / 906
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1812 / 1851
History coverage168d
Avg bet$29
Trades / day17.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1812 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1,562
7 days−$667
14 days−$373
30 days−$799
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $68 $0 −$68 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 29, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $49 $0 −$49 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 5, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Up 11¢ 0¢ $59 $0 −$59 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $23 $0 −$23 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 11, 7AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $70 $0 −$70 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $29 $0 −$29 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 24, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - January 10, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Down 37¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 2, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - January 2, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Down 27¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - December 28, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Down 77¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 11, 7AM ET Jun 13 $70 −$70 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 24, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 22, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 13 $33 −$33 -100%
XRP Up or Down - December 2, 1PM ET Jun 13 $29 −$29 -100%
XRP Up or Down - December 27, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
XRP Up or Down - December 2, 8AM ET Jun 13 $34 −$34 -100%
XRP Up or Down - December 23, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 13 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 23, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 22, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 13 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 26, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 13 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 14, 5PM ET Jun 13 $500 −$500 -100%
XRP Up or Down - December 7, 12PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 26, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +0%
XRP Up or Down - December 1, 8AM ET Jun 13 $52 −$52 -100%
XRP Up or Down - December 5, 8AM ET Jun 13 $25 −$25 -100%
XRP Up or Down - December 1, 6PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 14, 5AM ET Jun 13 $60 −$60 -100%
XRP Up or Down - December 17, 4AM ET Jun 13 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 17, 9AM ET Jun 13 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 24, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$4 -360%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 25, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
XRP Up or Down - December 24, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 13 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 26, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
XRP Up or Down - December 14, 2PM ET Jun 13 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 26, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
XRP Up or Down - December 4, 11AM ET Jun 13 $16 −$16 -100%
XRP Up or Down - December 23, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - December 1, 5AM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 26, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 16, 4PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 22, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 13 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 25, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - December 23, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 13 $27 −$27 -100%
XRP Up or Down - December 14, 4AM ET Jun 13 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 22, 4PM ET Jun 13 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 10, 5AM ET Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 26, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 21, 4PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 22, 11AM ET Jun 13 $35 −$35 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 10, 9AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 11, 3AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 26, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 13 $13 −$13 -100%
XRP Up or Down - December 14, 9AM ET Jun 13 $100 −$100 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 23, 3AM ET Jun 13 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 6, 2PM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
XRP Up or Down - December 1, 6AM ET Jun 13 $32 −$29 -92%
XRP Up or Down - December 2, 5AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 17, 8AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
XRP Up or Down - December 4, 8AM ET Jun 13 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 14, 11AM ET Jun 13 $300 −$300 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$729
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET SELL Down 98¢ $85 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET SELL Down 97¢ $91 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $51 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $52 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $77 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET BUY Down 7¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $26 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET SELL Down 12¢ $5 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $92 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $21 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Down 62¢ $26 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $26 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $26 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $26 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $26 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET BUY Up 17¢ $11 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET SELL Down 53¢ $32 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 22¢ $15 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET SELL Up 77¢ $44 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 31¢ $19 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 31¢ $19 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET SELL Down 61¢ $60 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 20¢ $21 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET SELL Down 98¢ $81 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $30 11h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $152 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $106 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $86 12h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $84 12h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +49%
net ROI/market (all)-12.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 451 -1.0% -10.4% 51% 49% -13.9%
≤30d 1409 -1.5% -10.8% 51% 49% -11.1%
≤90d 1432 -1.6% -11.0% 51% 49% -11.0%
all 1812 -2.8% -12.1% 50% 49% -12.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover17.7 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -12.1% 49% -12.3%
10% -20.5% 46% -20.7%
15% -28.2% 43% -28.3%
20% -35.2% 40% -35.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records