Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T09:17:00+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
EA 0xea5f…d58e crypto 537 markets active 0h ago coverage 35d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (67 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL +$347 (+1%) realized +$347 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -2% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -25% what you keep after slip
Net edge-25%after slip
Net WR1%break-even
Win rate88%472W / 65L
Drawdown78%max
Avg bet$80per market
Trades / day66.8pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$42
7 days−$49
14 days−$112
30 days−$181
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$126
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (67 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +1%
net ROI/market (all)-11.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 139 -1.3% -10.7% 91% 3% -9.9%
≤30d 451 -1.7% -11.1% 89% 1% -10.1%
≤90d 537 -2.0% -11.3% 88% 1% -9.3%
all 537 -2.0% -11.3% 88% 1% -9.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover66.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.3% 1% -9.3%
10% ← realistic here -19.8% 1% -17.9%
15% -27.6% 0% -25.9%
20% -34.7% 0% -33.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 1% · top 2 3% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
98% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -2% · $-wt +0% edge needs big-bet sizing — not flat-copyable
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -3% → late -1% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
3.5 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$2 vs −$12 · ×0.16 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.16 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

35d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$347
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)88%
Wins / losses472 / 65
Open positions0
Markets (closed)537 / 537
History coverage35d
Avg bet$80
Trades / day66.8
Drawdown78%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 537 Trades
no open positions (9 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 17 $112 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 17 $110 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 17 $108 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 17 $139 −$139 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 17 $88 −$4 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 17 $155 +$3 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 17 $153 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 17 $147 +$3 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 17 $144 +$3 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 17 $139 +$4 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 17 $137 +$3 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 17 $135 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 17 $151 −$8 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 17 $138 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 17 $29 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 17 $29 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 16 $130 +$3 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 16 $160 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 16 $92 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 16 $139 +$11 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 16 $144 +$3 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 16 $135 +$5 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 16 $135 +$3 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 16 $137 +$3 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 16 $110 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 16 $129 +$3 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 16 $127 +$3 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 16 $128 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 16 $122 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 16 $125 −$1 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 16 $120 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 16 $118 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 16 $112 +$5 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 16 $113 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 16 $111 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 16 $109 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 16 $107 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 16 $105 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 16 $110 −$3 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 16 $102 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 16 $99 +$3 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 16 $96 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 16 $94 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 16 $82 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 16 $92 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 16 $91 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 16 $86 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 16 $85 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 16 $82 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 16 $80 +$2 +2%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Up 9¢ $6 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Up 9¢ $0 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Up 9¢ $2 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Up 9¢ $1 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Up 9¢ $0 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $102 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Down 8¢ $0 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Down 8¢ $0 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Down 8¢ $0 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Down 8¢ $5 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Down 8¢ $0 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Down 8¢ $1 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Down 8¢ $1 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Down 8¢ $0 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $102 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Down 5¢ $0 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Down 5¢ $5 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Down 5¢ $0 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Down 5¢ $0 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Down 5¢ $0 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $23 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $13 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $13 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $28 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $25 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $27 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $9 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $9 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $18 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $75 29m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2831 history records