Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T21:33:04+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

EA
0xea59…3b63
other · 13 markets active 1h ago
7.0score
+$1,155 +54%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$1,155 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fresh edge⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$1,155
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)38%
Wins / losses5 / 8
Open positions0
Markets (closed)13 / 13
History coverage589d
Avg bet$163
Trades / day0.1
Drawdown24%
Kalshi-fit62%
Chart Positions 0 History 13 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$34
7 days−$34
14 days−$34
30 days−$34
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
MSI Play-in: G2 vs. GAM GAM 40¢ 0¢ $82 $0 −$82 (-100%)
Will the Government shutdown end by December 31? No 7¢ 0¢ $332 $0 −$332 (-100%)
MSI Playoffs: Gen.G vs. G2 G2 10¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2025 NBA Finals? Yes 16¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Will T1 win the 2025 Mid-Season Invitational? Yes 9¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election? Yes 42¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $34 −$15 -44%
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $26 −$19 -73%
Will the Government shutdown end by December 31? Oct 26 $332 −$332 -100%
Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later? Oct 21 $87 +$188 +216%
Will the federal government be shut down for 30 or more days in 2025? Oct 21 $830 +$1,364 +164%
MSI Playoffs: T1 vs. Bilibili Gaming Oct 04 $18 +$2 +12%
Will T1 win the 2025 Mid-Season Invitational? Jul 13 $29 −$14 -48%
MSI Playoffs: Gen.G vs. G2 Jul 02 $10 −$10 -100%
MSI Play-in: G2 vs. GAM Jun 30 $102 −$73 -72%
Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2025 NBA Finals? Jun 01 $16 −$16 -100%
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? Nov 04 $500 +$65 +13%
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election? Nov 04 $40 −$40 -100%
Will T1 win LoL Worlds 2024? Nov 03 $100 +$56 +56%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 48% +$1,372
politics 45% −$120
sports 7% −$97
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 1¢ $19 30m
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? SELL No 2¢ $7 35m
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 7¢ $15 1h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 7¢ $10 1h
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 1¢ $10 1h
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 1¢ $10 1h
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 1¢ $3 1h
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 1¢ $10 1h
Will the Government shutdown end by December 31? BUY No 7¢ $300 230d
Will the Government shutdown end by December 31? BUY No 6¢ $32 230d
Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later? SELL Yes 28¢ $274 235d
Will the federal government be shut down for 30 or more days in 2025? SELL Yes 75¢ $2,193 235d
Will the federal government be shut down for 30 or more days in 2025? BUY Yes 28¢ $712 247d
Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later? BUY Yes 9¢ $73 247d
Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later? BUY Yes 8¢ $14 247d
Will the federal government be shut down for 30 or more days in 2025? BUY Yes 28¢ $117 247d
Will T1 win the 2025 Mid-Season Invitational? BUY Yes 9¢ $5 335d
Will T1 win the 2025 Mid-Season Invitational? SELL Yes 30¢ $15 335d
Will T1 win the 2025 Mid-Season Invitational? BUY Yes 48¢ $24 335d
MSI Playoffs: T1 vs. Bilibili Gaming BUY T1 89¢ $18 342d
MSI Playoffs: Gen.G vs. G2 BUY G2 6¢ $3 346d
MSI Playoffs: Gen.G vs. G2 BUY G2 14¢ $7 346d
MSI Play-in: G2 vs. GAM BUY GAM 37¢ $37 348d
MSI Play-in: G2 vs. GAM BUY GAM 41¢ $8 348d
MSI Play-in: G2 vs. GAM BUY GAM 42¢ $20 348d
MSI Play-in: G2 vs. GAM BUY GAM 42¢ $8 348d
MSI Play-in: G2 vs. GAM BUY GAM 43¢ $9 348d
MSI Play-in: G2 vs. GAM SELL GAM 29¢ $29 348d
MSI Play-in: G2 vs. GAM BUY GAM 20¢ $20 348d
Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2025 NBA Finals? BUY Yes 16¢ $16 377d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +38%
net ROI/market (all)-26.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 2 -58.8% -62.7% 0% 0% -60.9%
≤30d 2 -58.8% -62.7% 0% 0% -60.9%
≤90d 2 -58.8% -62.7% 0% 0% -60.9%
all 13 -18.8% -26.5% 38% 38% +41.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.1 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -26.5% 38% +41.1%
10% -33.6% 23% +27.6%
15% -40.0% 23% +15.3%
20% -45.9% 23% +4.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 36 history records