Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T23:07:12+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

EA
0xea58…520c
crypto · 1300 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$9,286 -21%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$9,277 · open −$9
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$131
Realized−$9,277
Unrealized−$9
Win rate (resolved)73%
Wins / losses1221 / 457
Est. fees paid−$8
Open positions3
Markets (closed)1678 / 1300
History coverage4d
Avg bet$34
Trades / day629.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit97%
Chart Positions 3 History 1678 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$9,359
7 days−$9,277
14 days−$9,277
30 days−$9,277
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13? No 87¢ 88¢ $40 $41 +$1 (+2%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6PM ET Down 91¢ 76¢ $40 $34 −$6 (-16%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Down 94¢ 100¢ $20 $21 +$1 (+6%)
XRP Up or Down - June 4, 5PM ET Down 94¢ 100¢ $16 $17 +$1 (+6%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6PM ET Up 90¢ 74¢ $20 $17 −$3 (-17%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Up 98¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+2%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Up 98¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+2%)
Spread: Knicks (-2.5) Cavaliers 89¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 95¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Down 93¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down on May 29? Down 95¢ 0¢ $27 $0 −$27 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Down 92¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Up 92¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Down 94¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Down 94¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Up 84¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Down 97¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 9AM ET Up 92¢ 0¢ $39 $0 −$39 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Down 92¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Up 97¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Down 91¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Up 93¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Up 96¢ 0¢ $60 $0 −$60 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Up 92¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Up 91¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $20 +$1 +6%
XRP Up or Down - June 4, 5PM ET Jun 12 $16 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +2%
Spread: Knicks (-2.5) Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 12 $40 −$40 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
XRP Up or Down on May 29? Jun 12 $27 −$31 -116%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $40 −$40 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $40 −$40 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 9AM ET Jun 12 $39 −$39 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 3AM ET Jun 12 $40 −$40 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $40 −$40 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $40 −$40 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 22, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on May 26? Jun 12 $31 −$36 -118%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 2AM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 9AM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 28, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 12 $60 −$60 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 10PM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $40 −$40 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4AM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 6, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 12 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 12 $40 −$40 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 9PM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 12 $40 −$40 -100%
Will AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw? Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 7PM ET Jun 12 $40 −$40 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 3PM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 91% +$247
sports 5% −$28
other 4% −$10
world 0% +$8
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $20 13m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $20 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $20 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $20 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $20 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $20 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $20 1h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? SELL No 100¢ $44 1h
Exact Score: Canada 2 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? SELL No 100¢ $44 1h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? SELL No 100¢ $46 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $20 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $20 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $20 1h
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13? BUY No 87¢ $20 2h
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Canada O/U 2.5 SELL Under 100¢ $43 2h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 4.5 SELL Under 100¢ $43 2h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 5.5 SELL Under 100¢ $62 2h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 3.5 SELL Under 100¢ $44 2h
Spread: Canada (-1.5) SELL Bosnia and Herzegovina 100¢ $44 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4PM ET SELL Down 100¢ $63 2h
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13? BUY No 87¢ $20 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $20 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +4%
net ROI/market (all)-29.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1678 -22.3% -29.7% 73% 4% -24.9%
≤30d 1678 -22.3% -29.7% 73% 4% -24.9%
≤90d 1678 -22.3% -29.7% 73% 4% -24.9%
all 1678 -22.3% -29.7% 73% 4% -24.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover629.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -29.7% 4% -24.9%
10% ← realistic here -36.4% 0% -32.1%
15% -42.6% 0% -38.7%
20% -48.2% 0% -44.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $130.72 · official $129.15 · 3500 history records