Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T13:55:18+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

EA
0xea56…afad
crypto · 828 markets active 0h ago
2.5score
+$13 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$14 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1
Realized+$14
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)89%
Wins / losses739 / 88
Open positions1
Markets (closed)827 / 828
History coverage69d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day12.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit97%
Chart Positions 1 History 827 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$39
7 days+$40
14 days+$43
30 days+$43
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $2 $1 −$1 (-46%)
XRP Up or Down - June 5, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Up 89¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Up 92¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Up 85¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Down 85¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Down 90¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Down 86¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Down 80¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Up 89¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Up 74¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Down 82¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Down 83¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Down 90¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Down 88¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Up 83¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Down 87¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Down 84¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Down 87¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +20%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +15%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +22%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +16%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +15%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +31%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +18%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +65%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +15%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$2 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +12%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +23%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +20%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$4 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +20%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +23%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +12%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +25%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +23%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +15%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +16%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +8%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +12%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +22%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +22%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +16%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +8%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +14%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +12%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -99%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -99%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +22%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +14%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -99%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 97% +$10
other 2% +$4
world 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $4 14m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $4 14m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $4 19m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $4 19m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $4 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $4 19m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $4 24m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $4 24m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $4 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $5 24m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $4 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $4 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $4 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $4 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $4 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $4 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $4 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $4 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $4 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $4 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $4 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $4 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $4 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $4 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $4 5h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $4 5h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +51%
net ROI/market (all)-6.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 180 +4.9% -5.1% 91% 64% -5.0%
≤30d 266 +3.3% -6.6% 88% 49% -6.2%
≤90d 827 +3.4% -6.4% 89% 51% -9.2%
all 827 +3.4% -6.4% 89% 51% -9.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover12.3 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -6.4% 51% -9.2%
10% -15.4% 11% -17.9%
15% -23.6% 4% -25.8%
20% -31.1% 2% -33.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1.30 · official $1.30 (match) · 1666 history records