trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 2.5 | Under | 51¢ | 52¢ | $10 | $10 | +$0 (+1%) |
| Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5 | Under | 54¢ | 55¢ | $10 | $10 | +$0 (+1%) |
| Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 4.5 | Under | 56¢ | 55¢ | $10 | $10 | −$0 (-3%) |
| Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? | Yes | 51¢ | 50¢ | $6 | $6 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | Yes | 60¢ | 0¢ | $10 | $0 | −$10 (-100%) |
| Ethereum Up or Down - April 17, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET | Down | 48¢ | 0¢ | $187 | $0 | −$187 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 14 | $10 | +$6 | +59% |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 14 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $10 | +$11 | +105% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 12 | $10 | −$10 | -99% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - April 17, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET | Apr 17 | $194 | −$187 | -96% |
| Solana Up or Down - April 17, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET | Apr 17 | $65 | −$65 | -100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - April 17, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET | Apr 17 | $60 | −$60 | -100% |
| Will the price of Solana be above $80 on March 1? | Apr 17 | $101 | −$101 | -100% |
| Solana Up or Down - April 17, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET | Apr 17 | $17 | −$17 | -100% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 1? | Apr 17 | $30 | −$30 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET | Apr 17 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Solana Up or Down - April 17, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET | Apr 17 | $67 | +$59 | +88% |
| Solana Up or Down - April 17, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET | Apr 17 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |
| Solana Up or Down - April 17, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET | Apr 17 | $17 | +$19 | +111% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | Mar 01 | $10 | $0 | -4% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET | Mar 01 | $79 | +$42 | +53% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 4 | -9.0% | -17.6% | 50% | 50% | -17.2% |
| ≤30d | 4 | -9.0% | -17.6% | 50% | 50% | -17.2% |
| ≤90d | 14 | -45.5% | -50.7% | 29% | 29% | -70.7% |
| all | 16 | -36.7% | -42.7% | 31% | 31% | -57.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -42.7% | 31% | -57.6% |
| 10% | -48.2% | 31% | -61.7% |
| 15% | -53.2% | 31% | -65.4% |
| 20% | -57.8% | 31% | -68.8% |