Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T12:32:21+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

EA
0xea4b…5885
sports · 30 markets active 1h ago
2.5score
−$171 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$169 · open −$2
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Net worth$152
Realized−$169
Unrealized−$2
Win rate (resolved)41%
Wins / losses11 / 16
Est. fees paid−$82
Open positions3
Markets (closed)27 / 30
History coverage7d
Avg bet$139
Trades / day13.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit97%
Chart Positions 3 History 27 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$88
7 days−$169
14 days−$169
30 days−$169
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Knicks vs. Spurs Spurs 65¢ 64¢ $150 $149 −$1 (-1%)
Spread: Qatar (-1.5) Qatar $3 $2 −$1 (-27%)
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-15? Yes $1 $1 +$0 (+12%)
Cholet vs. Paris Basketball Cholet $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 13 $52 −$18 -35%
Spread: Knicks (-5.5) Jun 12 $757 −$32 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 11 $53 −$38 -71%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $512 −$253 -50%
Bratislava: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Alexander Donski Jun 10 $20 +$6 +31%
Tucuman: Facundo Mena vs Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez Jun 09 $254 −$9 -3%
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights Jun 09 $1 −$1 -100%
Cholet vs. Paris Basketball Jun 09 $47 −$9 -20%
Counter-Strike: INOX Division vs Bebop (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 4 Gro Jun 09 $10 −$1 -10%
Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs Oxuji Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Series Jun 09 $505 +$53 +10%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 09 $52 +$51 +98%
Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-1.5) Jun 09 $20 +$33 +162%
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Philadelphia Phillies Jun 09 $10 +$11 +109%
Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-3.5) Jun 07 $29 +$39 +134%
Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-2.5) Jun 07 $27 +$3 +13%
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5) Jun 07 $10 −$10 -96%
Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-1.5) Jun 07 $40 +$21 +53%
Cattolica: Liam Broady vs Alexander Vasilev Jun 07 $102 −$2 -2%
Chicago Sky vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 175.5 Jun 07 $15 −$1 -5%
Chicago Sky vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 173.5 Jun 07 $15 −$5 -31%
Counter-Strike: TDK vs INOX Division (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Grou Jun 07 $20 +$14 +69%
Counter-Strike: ARCRED vs Walczaki (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Jun 07 $20 +$19 +95%
Cattolica: Luka Mikrut vs Ioannis Xilas Jun 07 $203 −$10 -5%
Counter-Strike: Ground Zero vs MARKandLARRY (BO3) - Dfrag Open Series Jun 07 $1 $0 -35%
Counter-Strike: Abyssal vs Ding Cuts (BO3) - Dfrag Open Series #5 Grou Jun 07 $50 −$14 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 07 $21 +$16 +78%
Stuttgart Open, Qualification: Lorenzo Sonego vs Mert Alkaya Jun 06 $1,015 −$34 -3%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 97% −$132
crypto 3% −$40
other 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Spurs 65¢ $152 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET SELL Down $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET SELL Down 48¢ $32 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $26 1h
Spread: Knicks (-5.5) SELL Spurs 76¢ $725 33h
Knicks vs. Spurs SELL Knicks 35¢ $143 33h
Spread: Knicks (-5.5) BUY Spurs 78¢ $757 34h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET SELL Down $16 36h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Down $27 36h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Down $27 36h
Spurs vs. Knicks SELL Knicks 18¢ $44 2d
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Knicks $10 2d
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Knicks $10 2d
Spurs vs. Knicks SELL Knicks $41 2d
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Knicks 15¢ $51 2d
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Knicks 11¢ $31 2d
Spurs vs. Knicks SELL Knicks 10¢ $81 2d
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Knicks $51 2d
Spurs vs. Knicks SELL Knicks $93 2d
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Knicks 17¢ $102 2d
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Knicks 25¢ $256 2d
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 36¢ $153 3d
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-15? BUY Yes $1 3d
Cholet vs. Paris Basketball BUY Cholet $1 3d
Cholet vs. Paris Basketball SELL Cholet 25¢ $9 3d
Cholet vs. Paris Basketball BUY Cholet 13¢ $5 3d
Cholet vs. Paris Basketball SELL Cholet 27¢ $27 3d
Cholet vs. Paris Basketball BUY Cholet 42¢ $20 3d
Cholet vs. Paris Basketball BUY Cholet 38¢ $20 3d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +37%
net ROI/market (all)-0.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 27 +10.2% -0.3% 41% 37% -13.3%
≤30d 27 +10.2% -0.3% 41% 37% -13.3%
≤90d 27 +10.2% -0.3% 41% 37% -13.3%
all 27 +10.2% -0.3% 41% 37% -13.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover13.5 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -0.3% 37% -13.3%
10% -9.8% 33% -21.6%
15% -18.5% 30% -29.2%
20% -26.5% 30% -36.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $152.16 · official $152.16 (match) · 103 history records