Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T04:44:54+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

EA
0xea40…d9dd
crypto · 98 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$163 -19%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$163 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$163
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)22%
Wins / losses22 / 76
Open positions0
Markets (closed)98 / 98
History coverage6d
Avg bet$9
Trades / day39.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 0 History 98 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$156
7 days−$163
14 days−$163
30 days−$163
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Up 27¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$2 -40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$3 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 12 $15 −$15 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$9 -85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$12 +78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$4 -78%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$7 -70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$4 -79%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $16 −$6 -36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$1 -20%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$10 +98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $15 −$15 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$15 +100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$1 -17%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $16 −$13 -85%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $16 −$12 -74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$13 +129%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$12 +78%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$2 -42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$3 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $15 −$15 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$2 -47%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$2 -38%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$3 -57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$4 -75%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$3 -62%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -92%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $15 −$1 -4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $16 +$6 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$10 +64%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$1 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$2 -38%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 -4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$5 +98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$3 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$4 -70%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 12 $16 −$12 -77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$4 +69%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 -9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +24%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$2 -32%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$9 +173%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$6 -57%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 95% −$156
weather 3% −$6
other 2% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET SELL Up 22¢ $3 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET BUY Up 34¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET BUY Up 33¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET SELL Down 26¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET SELL Down 27¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET SELL Down 46¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET SELL Up 37¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET SELL Up 45¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up 31¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $5 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $5 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Down 38¢ $5 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET SELL Down 5¢ $2 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Down 30¢ $5 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Down 30¢ $5 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $5 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $5 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Down 37¢ $5 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET SELL Up 9¢ $1 13h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET SELL Up 14¢ $3 13h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $5 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Up 37¢ $5 13h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $5 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET SELL Up 6¢ $1 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Up 25¢ $5 13h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET SELL Down 27¢ $10 13h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $5 13h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +19%
net ROI/market (all)-33.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 98 -26.8% -33.8% 22% 19% -26.8%
≤30d 98 -26.8% -33.8% 22% 19% -26.8%
≤90d 98 -26.8% -33.8% 22% 19% -26.8%
all 98 -26.8% -33.8% 22% 19% -26.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover39.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -33.8% 19% -26.8%
10% ← realistic here -40.1% 18% -33.8%
15% -45.9% 16% -40.2%
20% -51.2% 13% -46.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 272 history records