Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T09:37:37+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

EA
0xea39…9d34
sports · 90 markets active 2h ago
7.5score
+$8,450 +41%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$8,234 · open +$7
avoidriskycopy
✓ COPY-WORTHY sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Net worth$326
Realized+$8,234
Unrealized+$7
Win rate (resolved)70%
Wins / losses59 / 25
Whale WR (big bets)80%
Est. fees paid−$416
Open positions6
Markets (closed)84 / 90
History coverage15d
Avg bet$230
Trades / day27.0
Drawdown12%
Kalshi-fit89%
Chart Positions 6 History 84 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$2,931
7 days+$5,302
14 days+$7,357
30 days+$8,234
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5 Under 53¢ 52¢ $138 $134 −$4 (-3%)
Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 2.5 Under 52¢ 52¢ $68 $68 +$1 (+1%)
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes 61¢ 60¢ $61 $60 −$0 (-1%)
Netherlands vs. Japan: Both Teams to Score No 48¢ 46¢ $24 $23 −$1 (-5%)
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No 20¢ 21¢ $20 $22 +$2 (+8%)
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI T1 29¢ 62¢ $9 $19 +$10 (+116%)
Spurs vs. Knicks: 1H Moneyline Spurs 49¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Christian Pulisic: 1+ goals Yes 28¢ $56 $0 −$56 (-100%)
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5) Los Angeles Dodgers 55¢ $55 $0 −$55 (-100%)
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-09? Yes 44¢ $89 $0 −$89 (-100%)
Games Total: O/U 3.5 Over 68¢ $68 $0 −$68 (-100%)
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox Atlanta Braves 56¢ $286 $0 −$286 (-100%)
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 Over 40¢ $79 $0 −$79 (-100%)
Cleveland Guardians vs. New York Yankees New York Yankees 63¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 17.5 Yes 49¢ $98 $0 −$98 (-100%)
Games Total: O/U 4.5 Over 35¢ $35 $0 −$35 (-100%)
Roland Garros WTA: Diana Shnaider vs Maja Chwalinska Diana Shnaider 50¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves 38¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Yes 22¢ $129 $0 −$129 (-100%)
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Yes 18¢ $66 $0 −$66 (-100%)
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Yes 58¢ $58 $0 −$58 (-100%)
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) Switzerland 59¢ $412 $0 −$412 (-100%)
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5) Atlanta Braves 46¢ $810 $0 −$810 (-100%)
Stephon Castle: Points O/U 15.5 Yes 58¢ $58 $0 −$58 (-100%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner T1 46¢ $92 $0 −$92 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Games Total: O/U 3.5 Jun 14 $243 +$84 +35%
Australia vs. Türkiye: Both Teams to Score Jun 14 $69 +$61 +90%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 14 $765 +$1,206 +158%
Spread: Spurs (-5.5) Jun 14 $200 +$196 +98%
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $63 +$29 +46%
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $60 −$23 -39%
Haiti vs. Scotland: Both Teams to Score Jun 14 $70 −$1 -2%
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $111 −$24 -22%
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? Jun 14 $102 +$182 +178%
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score Jun 13 $95 +$104 +109%
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays Jun 13 $339 +$320 +94%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $55 +$25 +45%
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? Jun 13 $21 +$379 +1843%
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) Jun 13 $416 −$412 -99%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $80 −$79 -98%
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Jun 13 $59 −$58 -99%
Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs KT Rolster (+2.5) Jun 13 $52 +$48 +93%
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 14.5 Jun 13 $58 +$37 +64%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $404 +$349 +86%
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5) Jun 13 $108 +$76 +70%
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5) Jun 13 $268 +$197 +74%
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox Jun 13 $111 +$78 +70%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $119 +$78 +66%
Christian Pulisic: 1+ goals Jun 12 $57 −$56 -98%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $176 −$86 -49%
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? Jun 12 $143 +$9 +6%
Games Total: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $481 +$212 +44%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 12 $97 −$35 -36%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $93 −$92 -98%
Games Total: O/U 4.5 Jun 12 $143 −$30 -21%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $27 +$57 +216%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $34 −$26 -77%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Both Teams to Score Jun 12 $207 +$189 +91%
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes: O/U 5.5 Jun 12 $106 +$94 +89%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 12 $420 +$143 +34%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $173 +$111 +64%
Spread: Mexico (-1.5) Jun 11 $108 +$84 +78%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $353 +$146 +41%
Mexico vs. South Africa: Both Teams to Score Jun 11 $64 +$32 +51%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $1,065 +$1,056 +99%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 10 $330 −$327 -99%
England vs. Costa Rica: Both Teams to Score Jun 10 $34 +$16 +46%
England vs. Costa Rica: O/U 3.5 Jun 10 $32 +$18 +55%
Spread: England (-1.5) Jun 10 $27 +$13 +50%
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5) Jun 10 $56 −$55 -99%
Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 17.5 Jun 10 $98 −$98 -100%
Stephon Castle: Points O/U 15.5 Jun 10 $59 −$58 -99%
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays Jun 10 $294 +$206 +70%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score Jun 10 $70 −$69 -99%
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights Jun 10 $104 +$93 +89%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 93% +$7,998
other 7% +$242
politics 0% $0
economics 0% +$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Games Total: O/U 3.5 SELL Over 99¢ $327 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI SELL T1 36¢ $60 1h
Games Total: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 73¢ $221 5h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 29¢ $59 5h
Games Total: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 72¢ $22 5h
Knicks vs. Spurs SELL Knicks 99¢ $1,474 6h
Spread: Spurs (-5.5) SELL Knicks 99¢ $396 6h
Knicks vs. Spurs SELL Knicks 70¢ $35 6h
Knicks vs. Spurs SELL Knicks 60¢ $30 6h
Knicks vs. Spurs SELL Knicks 48¢ $95 6h
Knicks vs. Spurs SELL Knicks 50¢ $50 6h
Knicks vs. Spurs SELL Knicks 45¢ $76 6h
Knicks vs. Spurs SELL Knicks 33¢ $53 6h
Knicks vs. Spurs SELL Knicks 35¢ $30 6h
Knicks vs. Spurs SELL Knicks 32¢ $0 6h
Knicks vs. Spurs SELL Knicks 32¢ $25 6h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 24¢ $49 6h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 92¢ $92 6h
Spread: Spurs (-5.5) BUY Knicks 47¢ $48 6h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 22¢ $102 6h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 17¢ $17 7h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 21¢ $21 7h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 26¢ $27 7h
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 2.5 SELL Over 37¢ $36 7h
Haiti vs. Scotland: Both Teams to Score SELL Yes 49¢ $37 7h
Haiti vs. Scotland: Both Teams to Score SELL Yes 49¢ $2 7h
Haiti vs. Scotland: Both Teams to Score SELL Yes 49¢ $10 7h
Haiti vs. Scotland: Both Teams to Score SELL Yes 49¢ $10 7h
Haiti vs. Scotland: Both Teams to Score SELL Yes 49¢ $10 7h
Knicks vs. Spurs SELL Knicks 40¢ $68 7h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
worth copying (survives realistic slippage)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +69%
net ROI/market (all)+36.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 66 +57.5% +42.5% 70% 68% +29.6%
≤30d 84 +50.9% +36.5% 70% 69% +27.7%
≤90d 84 +50.9% +36.5% 70% 69% +27.7%
all 84 +50.9% +36.5% 70% 69% +27.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover27.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +36.5% 69% +27.7%
10% ← realistic here +23.5% 69% +15.5%
15% +11.6% 65% +4.3%
20% +0.6% 54% -5.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $325.69 · official $325.69 (match) · 422 history records