Wallet analysis

2026-06-16T01:08:13+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

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EA 0xea33…b237 crypto 362 markets active 2h ago coverage 8d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 7d only
✗ bot/MM pace (436 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$2,350 (-14%) realized −$2,350 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -24% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -41% what you keep after slip
Net edge-41%after slip
Net WR29%break-even
Win rate41%152W / 215L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$47per market
Trades / day436.4pace
Fees−$1est.
Kalshi-fit98%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$2,087
7 days−$2,557
14 days−$2,525
30 days−$2,525
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 96% −$2,095
other 3% −$438
sports 0% +$25
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (436 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +29%
net ROI/market (all)-31.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 330 -27.5% -34.4% 36% 30% -23.8%
≤30d 367 -23.8% -31.1% 41% 29% -22.9%
≤90d 367 -23.8% -31.1% 41% 29% -22.9%
all 367 -23.8% -31.1% 41% 29% -22.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover436.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -31.1% 29% -22.9%
10% ← realistic here -37.7% 24% -30.3%
15% -43.7% 21% -37.0%
20% -49.2% 19% -43.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 8% · top 2 14% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -15% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
28% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -24% · $-wt -15% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -19% → late -29% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
9.1 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$14 vs −$22 · ×0.65 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.46 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

8d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$2,350
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)41%
Wins / losses152 / 215
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions0
Markets (closed)367 / 362
History coverage8d ⚠
Avg bet$47
Trades / day436.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 367 Trades
no open positions (164 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 16 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7PM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 16 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 15 $11 −$11 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 15 $16 −$16 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 15 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 15 $23 −$22 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 15 $19 −$18 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 15 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 15 $11 +$13 +112%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 15 $32 +$24 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 15 $4 −$4 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 15 $27 −$26 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 15 $16 +$5 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 15 $3 +$9 +252%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 15 $16 −$16 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 15 $7 −$6 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 15 $31 −$18 -58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 15 $8 +$2 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 15 $4 +$6 +129%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 15 $8 −$8 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 15 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 15 $11 −$11 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 15 $4 +$4 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 15 $12 −$12 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 15 $11 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 15 $13 −$12 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 15 $8 −$7 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 15 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 15 $9 −$8 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 15 $4 −$3 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 15 $65 +$93 +144%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 15 $11 −$11 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 15 $4 +$4 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 15 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 15 $16 +$17 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 15 $12 −$2 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 15 $8 +$8 +91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 15 $8 −$8 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 15 $12 +$6 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 15 $10 −$2 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 15 $12 +$11 +94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 15 $4 −$4 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 15 $29 −$28 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 15 $15 −$15 -96%
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? Jun 15 $412 −$304 -74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 15 $52 +$13 +26%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Down 17¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Up 39¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Up 39¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Up 39¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $4 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records