Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T16:41:35+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

EA
0xea2c…9784
crypto · 212 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$137 -6%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$137 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$137
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)51%
Wins / losses109 / 103
Est. fees paid−$2
Open positions0
Markets (closed)212 / 212
History coverage33d
Avg bet$10
Trades / day28.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 0 History 212 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$13
7 days−$13
14 days−$20
30 days−$129
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
UFC Fight Night: Dooho Choi vs. Daniel Santos (Featherweight, Main Card) Daniel Santos 72¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Up 8¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Down 29¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Up 18¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Up 76¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
UFC Fight Night: Tuco Tokkos vs. Ivan Erslan (Light Heavyweight, Prelims) Tuco Tokkos 41¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Down 9¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-23? Yes 49¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Down 17¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Down 31¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Down 22¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Down 17¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Up 74¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Down 28¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Up 12¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Down 23¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +136%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$1 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$2 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$3 +72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 11 $6 −$2 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 11 $2 +$2 +106%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 11 $3 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 11 $3 +$2 +63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 11 $4 +$3 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 11 $4 +$1 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 11 $2 +$1 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 11 $3 +$1 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 11 $3 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET May 31 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET May 31 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET May 31 $3 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET May 31 $3 +$3 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET May 31 $3 −$3 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET May 31 $1 $0 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET May 31 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET May 31 $1 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET May 31 $2 $0 +3%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 94% −$124
sports 5% −$4
other 1% −$9
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $1 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $1 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $1 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $1 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $1 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Down 23¢ $1 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Up 11¢ $1 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET SELL Up 18¢ $1 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Up 20¢ $1 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET SELL Down 71¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET SELL Down 54¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Down 21¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET SELL Down 83¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET SELL Up 70¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Down 29¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET SELL Down 35¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET SELL Down 62¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET SELL Down 77¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $1 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +41%
net ROI/market (all)-29.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 41 -19.3% -27.0% 51% 44% -21.2%
≤30d 202 -21.4% -28.9% 52% 42% -15.8%
≤90d 212 -22.0% -29.5% 51% 41% -16.0%
all 212 -22.0% -29.5% 51% 41% -16.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover28.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -29.5% 41% -16.0%
10% ← realistic here -36.2% 28% -24.1%
15% -42.4% 23% -31.4%
20% -48.0% 20% -38.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 973 history records