Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T13:16:39+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
EA 0xea27…4426 crypto 129 markets active 0h ago coverage 2d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (88 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 2d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL +$2 (+0%) realized +$2 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -23% what you keep after slip
Net edge-23%after slip
Net WR50%break-even
Win rate84%108W / 21L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$11per market
Trades / day87.7pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 2d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$9
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (88 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +50%
net ROI/market (all)-9.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 129 +0.5% -9.1% 84% 50% -10.1%
≤30d 129 +0.5% -9.1% 84% 50% -10.1%
≤90d 129 +0.5% -9.1% 84% 50% -10.1%
all 129 +0.5% -9.1% 84% 50% -10.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover87.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.1% 50% -10.1%
10% ← realistic here -17.8% 19% -18.7%
15% -25.8% 8% -26.5%
20% -33.0% 2% -33.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 7% · top 2 11% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
35% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +0% · $-wt -1% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +1% → late -0% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.1 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$2 vs −$9 · ×0.19 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.95 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

2d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$2
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)84%
Wins / losses108 / 21
Open positions0
Markets (closed)129 / 129
History coverage2d
Avg bet$11
Trades / day87.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 129 Trades
no open positions (1 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 15 $5 +$1 +18%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +7%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 15 $5 +$1 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +7%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 15 $25 +$1 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 15 $25 +$1 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 15 $25 +$7 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 15 $25 +$7 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 15 $25 −$25 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 15 $25 −$12 -46%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 15 $25 +$3 +13%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 15 $26 +$13 +49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 15 $25 +$7 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 15 $5 +$2 +34%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +9%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 15 $5 +$2 +40%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 15 $5 +$1 +10%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 15 $5 +$3 +60%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 15 $5 +$1 +26%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 15 $25 +$4 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 15 $5 +$1 +19%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 15 $5 +$1 +10%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 15 $5 +$1 +18%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 15 $5 +$1 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 15 $25 +$1 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 15 $14 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +7%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +26%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$2 +16%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 14 $25 +$1 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 14 $26 +$8 +30%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 14 $3 $0 +11%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 14 $25 +$4 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 14 $25 +$1 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 14 $25 +$2 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -94%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 14 $25 +$2 +8%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 14 $25 +$4 +18%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 14 $25 +$4 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +9%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +21%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 14 $26 +$3 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +7%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $5 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $5 6m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $5 12m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $5 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $5 27m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $5 33m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $25 46m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $25 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $25 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET SELL Down 44¢ $14 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $25 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $25 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $26 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $25 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $5 8h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $5 8h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $5 8h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $5 8h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $5 8h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $5 8h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $25 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $5 9h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $5 9h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET SELL Down 97¢ $6 9h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $5 9h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $5 9h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $25 9h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $4 9h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 363 history records