Wallet analysis

2026-06-27T11:34:13+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

2.0
score
EA 0xea21…3327 crypto 15 markets active 2h ago coverage 1d
UNRELIABLEdata unreliable crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage! high turnover! limited sample (<25 closed)
Total PnL +$18 (+6%) realized +$18 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +3% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -20% what you keep after slip
Net edge-20%after slip
Net WR20%break-even
Win rate40%6W / 9L
Drawdown4%max
Avg bet$21per market
Trades / day24.0pace
Kalshi-fit60%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 66% +$11
other 34% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +20%
net ROI/market (all)-6.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 15 +3.4% -6.4% 40% 20% -6.2%
≤30d 15 +3.4% -6.4% 40% 20% -6.2%
≤90d 15 +3.4% -6.4% 40% 20% -6.2%
all 15 +3.4% -6.4% 40% 20% -6.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover24.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -6.4% 20% -6.2%
10% ← realistic here -15.4% 0% -15.2%
15% -23.6% 0% -23.4%
20% -31.1% 0% -30.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 32% · top 2 56% thin sample
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +4% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
50% wins margin < slip thin sample
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +3% · $-wt +4% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +0% → late +6% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$2 vs −$0 · ×22.65 wins bigger than losses
Profit factor
×15.1 per $1 lost it wins $15.1
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$18
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)40%
Wins / losses6 / 9
Open positions0
Markets (closed)15 / 15
History coverage1d
Avg bet$21
Trades / day24.0
Drawdown4%
Kalshi-fit60%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 15 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 27, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 27 $30 $0 -1%
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 27 $27 +$2 +9%
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 27 $28 $0 -1%
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 27 $28 $0 -0%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 27, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 27 $10 $0 -0%
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 27 $24 +$4 +16%
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 27 $21 +$3 +14%
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 27 $19 +$3 +15%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 27, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 27 $19 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 27 $19 $0 -0%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 27, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 27 $18 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 27 $19 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 27 $19 $0 -0%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 26, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 27 $10 $0 -0%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 26, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 27 $19 $0 -0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 27, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET SELL Up 100¢ $30 1h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 27, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $30 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $29 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $27 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET SELL Up 100¢ $28 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $28 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $28 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $28 3h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 27, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $28 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $24 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $24 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $21 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $19 4h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 27, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $19 4h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 27, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $19 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $18 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $19 4h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 27, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET SELL Up 100¢ $18 4h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 27, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $18 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $19 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $19 11h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 26, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 11h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 26, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $19 11h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 34 history records