trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 26 | +53.9% | +39.2% | 42% | 42% | +30.0% |
| ≤30d | 26 | +53.9% | +39.2% | 42% | 42% | +30.0% |
| ≤90d | 26 | +53.9% | +39.2% | 42% | 42% | +30.0% |
| all | 41 | +21.7% | +10.1% | 41% | 41% | +21.0% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +10.1% | 41% | +21.0% |
| 10% | -0.4% | 39% | +9.4% |
| 15% | -10.0% | 39% | -1.2% |
| 20% | -18.9% | 29% | -10.9% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 12¢ | 13¢ | $93 | $98 | +$5 (+5%) |
| Will Mexico vs. Korea Republic end in a draw? | Yes | 30¢ | 30¢ | $10 | $10 | −$0 (-2%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Canada vs. Qatar end in a draw? | Jun 18 | $10 | −$10 | -97% |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 18 | $10 | +$6 | +56% |
| Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 18 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Will Ghana vs. Panama end in a draw? | Jun 17 | $8 | −$8 | -97% |
| Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $5 | −$2 | -35% |
| Will England win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $10 | +$7 | +69% |
| Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw? | Jun 17 | $5 | +$23 | +468% |
| Will Argentina vs. Algeria end in a draw? | Jun 17 | $8 | −$8 | -97% |
| Will Iraq vs. Norway end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $11 | −$10 | -93% |
| Will France win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 16 | $10 | +$5 | +46% |
| Will IR Iran vs. New Zealand end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $25 | +$59 | +234% |
| Will Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $49 | +$7 | +15% |
| Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw? | Jun 15 | $5 | +$23 | +468% |
| Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Will Sweden vs. Tunisia end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $5 | −$5 | -97% |
| Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $5 | −$5 | -97% |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $5 | −$5 | -97% |
| Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 14 | $10 | +$5 | +54% |
| Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? | Jun 13 | $7 | +$87 | +1274% |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $8 | −$7 | -97% |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 13 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $10 | +$10 | +101% |
| Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 12 | $10 | −$10 | -97% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 12 | $15 | +$6 | +42% |
| Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? | Jun 12 | $10 | −$10 | -97% |
| Celtics vs. Nuggets | Mar 02 | $2 | +$1 | +72% |
| Heat vs. 76ers | Feb 26 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Cavaliers vs. Bucks | Feb 26 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Thunder vs. Raptors | Feb 26 | $2 | +$1 | +75% |
| Mavericks vs. Nets | Feb 26 | $2 | +$1 | +72% |
| Warriors vs. Pelicans | Feb 23 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Kings vs. Grizzlies | Feb 23 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Spurs vs. Pistons | Feb 23 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-12? | Feb 23 | $4 | −$4 | -100% |
| Will Germany win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics? | Feb 23 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Trail Blazers vs. Jazz | Feb 14 | $4 | +$2 | +41% |
| Spurs vs. Warriors | Feb 12 | $4 | +$3 | +78% |
| Hawks vs. Hornets | Feb 12 | $5 | +$2 | +49% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 mee | Feb 11 | $4 | −$4 | -100% |
| US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026? | Feb 11 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |